Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae9433e408d779f7aa5b1d3d7eb9ef269fbb6d415d3699c119e60c4445e13159
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paraguayof Germany, Paraguay
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,740,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,076,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,740,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Germany | 74c | 683,360$505,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505,734.18 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Paraguay | 31c | 639,884$198,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441,657.37 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Germany | 72c | 464,417$334,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334,524.27 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Paraguay | 28c | 420,985$118,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302,651.85 | 565 | 41.1%232 W · 333 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095f…90b2backed Paraguay | 57c | 297,256$170,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,095.15 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Paraguay | 36c | 273,931$98,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175,315.99 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Paraguay | 13c | 273,341$35,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237,806.96 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Paraguay | 24c | 248,085$59,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188,938.52 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3496…8fc4backed Paraguay | 23c | 226,787$52,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174,063.52 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Paraguay | 27c | 182,366$49,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132,715.5 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Paraguay | 15c | 179,000$26,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152,509.61 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Paraguay | 14c | 173,239$23,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149,725.91 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked Paraguay | 14c | 159,846$22,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137,516.35 | 213 | 43.2%92 W · 121 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Paraguay | 13c | 149,225$19,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129,652.32 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Germany | 63c | 130,078$81,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,866.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Paraguay | 15c | 111,115$17,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93,984.71 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Germany | 51c | 110,141$55,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,855.1 | 319 | 45.5%145 W · 174 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Paraguay | 13c | 108,039$13,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94,090.6 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Paraguay | 15c | 100,300$14,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,517.15 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Paraguay | 13c | 99,999$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86,499.44 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Germany | 49c | 99,938$49,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,453.44 | 333 | 37.8%126 W · 207 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Paraguay | 13c | 98,324$12,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,542.13 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x087d…b872backed Paraguay | 13c | 93,049$12,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,952.93 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paraguay | 53c | 91,153$47,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,257.66 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Paraguay | 13c | 87,400$11,362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,038 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Germany | 48c | 84,968$41,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,204.79 | 420 | 43.1%181 W · 239 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Paraguay | 27c | 84,877$23,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,657.42 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Paraguay | 7c | 76,623$5,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,359.2 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Paraguay | 13c | 74,956$9,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,212.03 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e5…7a2bbacked Germany | 74c | 71,368$53,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,110.32 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Paraguay | 13c | 70,779$9,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,577.73 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Paraguay | 25c | 70,413$17,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,027.71 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Germany | 40c | 69,123$27,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,809.47 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Paraguay | 34c | 68,124$22,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,139.77 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…a37fbacked Paraguay | 39c | 65,448$25,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,043.95 | 208 | 39.4%82 W · 126 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Paraguay | 26c | 62,935$16,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,547.08 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Germany | 65c | 61,528$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Germany | 72c | 59,999$43,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,199.53 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69d5…7767backed Paraguay | 13c | 58,500$7,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,895 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed Paraguay | 13c | 58,000$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,459.59 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Paraguay | 36c | 55,213$19,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,377.17 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62a…a4dbbacked Germany | 64c | 55,153$35,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,297.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…4c80backed Paraguay | 23c | 51,141$11,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,311.43 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +20.7wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…659abacked Germany | 72c | 48,916$35,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,219.72 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Germany | 52c | 48,811$25,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,340.45 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Paraguay | 33c | 39,652$12,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,753.34 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Germany | 48c | 36,602$17,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,721.25 | 244 | 43%105 W · 139 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…1bedbacked Paraguay | 13c | 34,500$4,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,015 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Paraguay | 39c | 34,152$13,373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,779.56 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Paraguay | 16c | 30,892$4,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,079.96 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1c…436cbacked Germany | 65c | 30,817$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Germany | 68c | 30,789$20,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,874.63 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Paraguay | 26c | 30,351$7,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,432.58 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Paraguay | 15c | 30,089$4,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,503.97 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Paraguay | 43c | 30,000$12,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,100 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Germany | 72c | 30,000$21,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,599.98 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Germany | 58c | 30,000$17,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,399.93 | 191 | 48.2%92 W · 99 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Paraguay | 14c | 29,742$4,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,618.52 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Paraguay | 15c | 28,444$4,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,177.12 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882f…a8c0backed Germany | 57c | 28,265$16,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,231.06 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06fa…455cbacked Germany | 75c | 28,133$21,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,099.41 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Paraguay | 21c | 27,500$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,724.9 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b9…90d0backed Germany | 49c | 27,468$13,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,474.02 | 163 | 36.2%59 W · 104 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Paraguay | 37c | 27,027$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,027.03 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…7e90backed Paraguay | 23c | 26,630$6,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,541.08 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Germany | 69c | 26,596$18,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,251.75 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Paraguay | 20c | 26,097$5,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,854.4 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Paraguay | 16c | 26,000$4,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,959.98 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Germany | 67c | 25,637$17,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,150.69 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45ad…55b7backed Germany | 68c | 25,066$17,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,103.17 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3355…dd2fbacked Germany | 66c | 24,900$16,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,420.93 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Paraguay | 35c | 24,489$8,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,896.22 | 399 | 33.1%132 W · 267 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Paraguay | 14c | 24,300$3,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,958.97 | 110 | 31.8%35 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Germany | 52c | 24,064$12,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,451.35 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Paraguay | 24c | 24,051$5,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,247.19 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Paraguay | 18c | 23,687$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,373.07 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Paraguay | 13c | 23,500$3,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,445 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Germany | 71c | 22,797$16,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,246.83 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Germany | 62c | 22,738$14,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,011.6 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…a9cfbacked Paraguay | 29c | 22,563$6,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,019.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Germany | 52c | 22,500$11,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,599.93 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Paraguay | 18c | 22,498$4,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,493 | 259 | 42.1%109 W · 150 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…18e7backed Germany | 63c | 22,401$14,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,163.36 | 130 | 37.7%49 W · 81 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Germany | 71c | 21,846$15,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,448.7 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed Paraguay | 29c | 21,742$6,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,460.06 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Paraguay | 67c | 21,662$14,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,204.54 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Paraguay | 78c | 21,552$16,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,792.86 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Paraguay | 14c | 21,420$2,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,421.19 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…eff9backed Paraguay | 51c | 21,232$10,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,503.42 | 257 | 53.3%137 W · 120 L | +23.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Paraguay | 56c | 20,460$11,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,070.94 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Paraguay | 13c | 20,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,399.99 | 83 | 25.3%21 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Germany | 68c | 19,968$13,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,631.01 | 147 | 15.6%23 W · 124 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed Paraguay | 13c | 19,764$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,171.4 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked Germany | 58c | 19,667$11,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,472.24 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc0…5765backed Paraguay | 67c | 19,532$13,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,418.61 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…2b66backed Paraguay | 41c | 19,204$7,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,257.29 | 290 | 30.7%89 W · 201 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Paraguay | 21c | 19,120$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,187.46 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…9fcdbacked Paraguay | 43c | 18,860$8,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,656.67 | 197 | 38.1%75 W · 122 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…9867backed Germany | 75c | 18,717$14,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,037 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Paraguay | 14c | 18,571$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,971.43 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancethis page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.