Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb92b7ccd2b8fb69b5e6795e24e1d159677c2577d0fd46e2573d8849691a44a3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 0c | 29,119$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 17c | 9,618$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.95 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 18c | 4,444$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.92 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae1…6f10backed Yes | 3c | 1,445$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 10c | 1,296$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.62 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 2c | 1,029$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 16c | 951.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 5c | 637.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 2c | 538.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…6ebbbacked Yes | 18c | 479.94$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.39 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 12c | 450$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 14c | 266.87$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.2 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 15c | 265$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 16c | 260.78$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yes | 13c | 258$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 14c | 225$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 14c | 225$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…c0e6backed Yes | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 126 | 15.1%19 W · 107 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 238 | 20.6%49 W · 189 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad1…35d0backed Yes | 18c | 193.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 185.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes | 13c | 147.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5090…9e15backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 10c | 108.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf76a…71e6backed Yes | 18c | 105.56$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 195 | 20%39 W · 156 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1442…5a8fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…e083backed Yes | 18c | 91.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d60…d6bcbacked Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d4…ef77backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 17c | 81.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Halfthis page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.