TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,717
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$249,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,717 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c73,080$52,042 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,038.794,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d4…e8fdbacked Over39c16,078$6,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,201.39633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over41c12,558$5,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,131.0812254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Under75c11,944$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,943.527163.4%45 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under59c11,727$6,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,7591,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over39c10,060$3,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,923.327140.8%29 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over41c10,000$4,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,10023942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over19c9,399$1,781 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,781.394,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under61c8,609$5,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,399.72,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under61c7,027$4,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,740.5177152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd190…2650backed Over40c6,827$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,730.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over40c5,555$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,236.439126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over40c4,796$1,910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,909.592,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under61c4,512$2,752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.6719038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under60c4,222$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,672.0774447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over22c4,097$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.419821.4%21 W · 77 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x40e8…88a4backed Under74c4,000$2,941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.0610471.2%74 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over30c3,953$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eee…d930backed Over40c3,750$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002433.3%8 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2970…e1c9backed Under61c3,229$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.2414351.7%74 W · 69 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under61c3,045$1,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.793,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71a6…b4d2backed Over23c2,718$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.342213.6%3 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick28cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Over37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c2,494$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.348,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under61c2,402$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.792,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under69c2,144$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.022,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over32c2,077$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.6523363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76035229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over39c1,789$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.21,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over42c1,721$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.2710051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c1,549$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.512,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over28c1,537$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.473,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over39c1,510$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.918929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Over29c1,491$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.492732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x126f…a49dbacked Over37c1,462$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.318248.8%40 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2871…3edcbacked Over1c1,403$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9142…b355backed Under62c1,376$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.891735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over31c1,296$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.4938960.7%236 W · 153 L+24.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50022749.3%112 W · 115 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over37c1,237$461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.0917625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Over38c1,112$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.3862633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under60c1,080$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.141,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Over38c1,039$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3958052.5%42 W · 38 L+7.6wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Over39c1,019$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.277865.4%51 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over28c1,019$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.741,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc28c…36f3backed Over18c991.48$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829017.8%16 W · 74 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over26c911$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.1365737.4%246 W · 411 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe06b…def9backed Over39c897.44$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503823.7%9 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351d…8574backed Over27c849.48$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.3616725.7%43 W · 124 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over39c771.79$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30116747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3752…2f08backed Under58c759.98$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.1919750.3%99 W · 98 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc63e…e611backed Over33c750$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.54238.1%16 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under59c699.97$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.9997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under60c654.02$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.821,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over38c642.79$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.268725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x511b…f6dabacked Over39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Over39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over24c632.27$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.152,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Over37c599.97$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.9947127.8%131 W · 340 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x426d…6885backed Over39c583.72$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.657844.9%35 W · 43 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over40c532.8$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.253,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Over38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f0…ad99backed Over39c525.64$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20517948%86 W · 93 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over13c519.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.672,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over39c510.77$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.211952.9%63 W · 56 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e18…f3b1backed Over19c510.63$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.024339.5%17 W · 26 L+0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cf…5f47backed Over39c510.26$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1996036.7%22 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Under62c500$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1318…69afbacked Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018028.3%51 W · 129 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid-17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81e…3640backed Over40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003842.1%16 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea0d…e1c3backed Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003729.7%11 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under61c464.6$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0324843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81d4…bb6ebacked Over39c450.05$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.523231.3%10 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Under77c413$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2735034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd1f0…0b5dbacked Under77c400$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921080%8 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over18c398.43$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.44,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over41c369.61$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.811,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under60c359.48$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.121,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeacb…4a8ebacked Over42c350$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1474934.7%17 W · 32 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under60c322.68$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.5742853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd2…e477backed Under63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.465343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over39c314$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.971,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over36c313.99$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.641,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over23c304.21$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.172,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over37c300$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3265036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5459453.4%317 W · 277 L+43.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.481,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over51c299.56$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9273536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f3…2568backed Under75c280$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.846838.2%26 W · 42 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Under58c266.67$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11238026.6%101 W · 279 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2305…04f2backed Over19c265.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504415.9%7 W · 37 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2613…08e3backed Over39c265.46$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.536145.9%28 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+48.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d4d…fba6backed Over38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014239.4%56 W · 86 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over30c257.82$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8687237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x461e…5ce2backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008540%34 W · 51 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035848.6%174 W · 184 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb124…7380backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10034537.1%128 W · 217 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6815…e90fbacked Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef3a…1eb3backed Over39c256.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004544.4%20 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.