Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b403ec2d0efa1e350027d610a59e2ee9bbe58639ef4d54838b60af3f2a13db1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $249,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 73,080$52,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,038.79 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d4…e8fdbacked Over | 39c | 16,078$6,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,201.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 41c | 12,558$5,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.08 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Under | 75c | 11,944$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,943.52 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 59c | 11,727$6,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,759 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a6…71bdbacked Over | 39c | 10,060$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.32 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 19c | 9,399$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.39 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 8,609$5,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,399.7 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 61c | 7,027$4,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,740.51 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd190…2650backed Over | 40c | 6,827$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730.98 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 40c | 5,555$2,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,236.43 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 40c | 4,796$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909.59 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 61c | 4,512$2,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.67 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 60c | 4,222$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,672.07 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Over | 22c | 4,097$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.41 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Under | 74c | 4,000$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.06 | 104 | 71.2%74 W · 30 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 30c | 3,953$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.63 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Over | 40c | 3,750$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2970…e1c9backed Under | 61c | 3,229$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.24 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 61c | 3,045$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.79 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…b4d2backed Over | 23c | 2,718$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.34 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Over | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 2,494$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.34 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 2,402$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 69c | 2,144$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.02 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 32c | 2,077$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.65 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Over | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 39c | 1,789$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.2 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 42c | 1,721$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.27 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 22c | 1,549$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.51 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 1,537$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.47 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Over | 39c | 1,510$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.9 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Over | 29c | 1,491$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.4 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…a49dbacked Over | 37c | 1,462$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.31 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2871…3edcbacked Over | 1c | 1,403$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9142…b355backed Under | 62c | 1,376$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 31c | 1,296$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.49 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 37c | 1,237$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.09 | 176 | 25%44 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Over | 38c | 1,112$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.38 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 60c | 1,080$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.14 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dee…a0f4backed Over | 38c | 1,039$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Over | 39c | 1,019$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.27 | 78 | 65.4%51 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 28c | 1,019$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.74 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc28c…36f3backed Over | 18c | 991.48$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 90 | 17.8%16 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 26c | 911$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.13 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe06b…def9backed Over | 39c | 897.44$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351d…8574backed Over | 27c | 849.48$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.36 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 39c | 771.79$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 167 | 47.3%79 W · 88 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Under | 58c | 759.98$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.19 | 197 | 50.3%99 W · 98 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63e…e611backed Over | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 59c | 699.97$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.99 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 60c | 654.02$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.82 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 38c | 642.79$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.26 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…f6dabacked Over | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Over | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 24c | 632.27$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 37c | 599.97$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.99 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426d…6885backed Over | 39c | 583.72$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.65 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 40c | 532.8$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.25 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…6f88backed Over | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed Over | 39c | 525.64$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 179 | 48%86 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Over | 13c | 519.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.67 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 39c | 510.77$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e18…f3b1backed Over | 19c | 510.63$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89cf…5f47backed Over | 39c | 510.26$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1318…69afbacked Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 180 | 28.3%51 W · 129 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe81e…3640backed Over | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…e1c3backed Over | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 61c | 464.6$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81d4…bb6ebacked Over | 39c | 450.05$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.52 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Under | 77c | 413$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.27 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…0b5dbacked Under | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 18c | 398.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 41c | 369.61$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.81 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 60c | 359.48$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…4a8ebacked Over | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 60c | 322.68$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.57 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd2…e477backed Under | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 39c | 314$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 36c | 313.99$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 23c | 304.21$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.17 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 37c | 300$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…ffbebacked Over | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 594 | 53.4%317 W · 277 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 51c | 299.56$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.92 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2568backed Under | 75c | 280$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.84 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Under | 58c | 266.67$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2305…04f2backed Over | 19c | 265.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…08e3backed Over | 39c | 265.46$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.53 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4d…fba6backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 39.4%56 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 30c | 257.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.86 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461e…5ce2backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…7380backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 345 | 37.1%128 W · 217 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…e90fbacked Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef3a…1eb3backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5this page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.