TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$601,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$679,427

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Under15c79,270$12,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,159.961,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under21c20,614$4,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.694,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under17c12,045$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,079.844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under20c11,441$2,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,288.1470244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over79c11,092$8,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.922,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under19c7,728$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.771,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under9c6,071$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52543737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over79c5,888$4,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.221,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under18c5,408$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.7471638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa704…11c1backed Over80c5,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0008672.1%62 W · 24 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over73c4,776$3,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under17c4,360$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.2528229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under19c4,259$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.1552744.4%234 W · 293 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under18c3,984$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.312,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c60…f4fcbacked Over62c3,739$2,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.671275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+52.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over70c3,616$2,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.963,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under19c3,293$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.311,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under16c3,154$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.3322933.6%77 W · 152 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x114d…23e2backed Over61c2,989$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,165.751546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0079…1139backed Over80c2,750$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5503855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-18.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under19c2,699$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.974447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed Under12c2,670$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.734845.1%157 W · 191 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f0f…1366backed Under38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013043.8%57 W · 73 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under24c2,630$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.9644539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under27c2,389$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.2258942.6%251 W · 338 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Under38c2,329$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.9819744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Under19c2,150$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under17c2,097$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.2534844.3%154 W · 194 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under18c2,002$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.3522643.4%98 W · 128 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under1c1,988$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8819218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b1…8962backed Under2c1,747$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.945543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under19c1,581$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.484,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67bf…f983backed Under17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25027931.9%89 W · 190 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fa…140bbacked Over69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2816750.3%84 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under21c1,297$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.272,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under20c1,250$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.083,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d18…c84dbacked Under22c1,250$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.86738.8%26 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Under14c1,200$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16267354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e64…4adfbacked Under15c1,181$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.432236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under20c1,140$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.13,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under12c1,098$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.222,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over80c1,069$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.82,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…ac87backed Under15c1,067$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-34.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb76b…d1f0backed Under1c1,039$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3914238.7%55 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under19c1,029$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.331,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under20c1,024$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe459…737dbacked Under15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15025445.3%115 W · 139 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over61c961.72$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.0777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under18c925.51$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5936235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under21c885$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.851,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Over80c875$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17521837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under21c845.92$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4237223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f0c…ba73backed Under22c822.73$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18110224.5%25 W · 77 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over58c809.04$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.874752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb15…ee0fbacked Over64c799.99$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28817723.7%42 W · 135 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc046…d8f0backed Under17c794.1$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13514131.2%44 W · 97 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b9c…8620backed Under13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033740.4%136 W · 201 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-24.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Over70c718.45$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.5366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed Over61c703.88$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.411741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under20c676.59$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.7642332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Under20c673.66$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6124843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Under29c647.76$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.857751.9%40 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under19c630.97$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.0797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under15c613.33$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9230220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under20c598.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.731,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Under15c594$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.123036.1%83 W · 147 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Under17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012033.3%40 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa9…09fabacked Under17c588.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022932.8%75 W · 154 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+37.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over68c558.82$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17737944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Under18c555.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026647%125 W · 141 L+14.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under13c551.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.271,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0164…9ed6backed Under15c550$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.519723.4%46 W · 151 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f4…936bbacked Under19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002965.5%19 W · 10 L+5.7wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+27.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x4f14…026ebacked Under19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006835.3%24 W · 44 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+31.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…88f0backed Under14c511.3$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.586533.8%22 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x650a…e1aebacked Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde92…8159backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1005149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under21c499.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9995739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0823…ec6abacked Over80c497$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.443139%168 W · 263 L+1.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Under14c491$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.141,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under23c485.85$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.921,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019224.5%47 W · 145 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf545…4036backed Under45c473.2$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.945052%26 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over79c468.16$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.262,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Over80c453.83$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.776965.2%45 W · 24 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x300f…dd62backed Over78c446.76$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.291942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa78d…130bbacked Over61c443.51$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.973751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e6…86b1backed Over68c439.38$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.3811044.5%49 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2b…97b2backed Under24c420$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.88038.8%31 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57e4…835ebacked Over79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8410752.3%56 W · 51 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f2…44aabacked Over80c400$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805068%34 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under15c399$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8365036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under20c398.73$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.441,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under15c398$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under19c391$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e6…e3c2backed Over79c382.08$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.