Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x108d9284a5afb66c7a829fecece3fa3c4f7a4591ffd001addd48d854ef722fe4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $601,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $679,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 15c | 79,270$12,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,159.96 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 21c | 20,614$4,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,356.69 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 17c | 12,045$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,079.8 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 20c | 11,441$2,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,288.14 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 79c | 11,092$8,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,288.92 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 7,728$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.77 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 9c | 6,071$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 79c | 5,888$4,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.22 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 18c | 5,408$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.74 | 716 | 38.4%275 W · 441 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd6…18e4backed Under | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 16.7%10 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 86 | 72.1%62 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 73c | 4,776$3,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 17c | 4,360$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.25 | 282 | 29.4%83 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed Under | 19c | 4,259$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.15 | 527 | 44.4%234 W · 293 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 18c | 3,984$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.31 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c60…f4fcbacked Over | 62c | 3,739$2,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.67 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 70c | 3,616$2,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079.96 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 19c | 3,293$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.31 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under | 16c | 3,154$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.33 | 229 | 33.6%77 W · 152 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x114d…23e2backed Over | 61c | 2,989$1,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.75 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0079…1139backed Over | 80c | 2,750$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 19c | 2,699$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.9 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…f354backed Under | 12c | 2,670$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.7 | 348 | 45.1%157 W · 191 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Under | 38c | 2,632$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 24c | 2,630$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.96 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 27c | 2,389$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.22 | 589 | 42.6%251 W · 338 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d06…755bbacked Under | 38c | 2,329$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.98 | 197 | 44.2%87 W · 110 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Under | 19c | 2,150$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Under | 17c | 2,097$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.25 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under | 18c | 2,002$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.35 | 226 | 43.4%98 W · 128 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 1c | 1,988$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 192 | 18.8%36 W · 156 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35b1…8962backed Under | 2c | 1,747$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 1,581$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.48 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 279 | 31.9%89 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23fa…140bbacked Over | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 21c | 1,297$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.27 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 20c | 1,250$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…c84dbacked Under | 22c | 1,250$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.8 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 14c | 1,200$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e64…4adfbacked Under | 15c | 1,181$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.43 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 20c | 1,140$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.1 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 12c | 1,098$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.22 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 80c | 1,069$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.8 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…ac87backed Under | 15c | 1,067$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 1c | 1,039$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 142 | 38.7%55 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 19c | 1,029$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.33 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 20c | 1,024$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 220 | 29.5%65 W · 155 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 254 | 45.3%115 W · 139 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 61c | 961.72$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.07 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 18c | 925.51$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.59 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 21c | 885$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.85 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c8…b9e6backed Over | 80c | 875$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 21c | 845.92$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.42 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…ba73backed Under | 22c | 822.73$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 102 | 24.5%25 W · 77 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 58c | 809.04$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.8 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…ee0fbacked Over | 64c | 799.99$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 177 | 23.7%42 W · 135 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 17c | 794.1$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 141 | 31.2%44 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…8620backed Under | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 337 | 40.4%136 W · 201 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 70c | 718.45$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.53 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Over | 61c | 703.88$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 20c | 676.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 423 | 32.9%139 W · 284 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 20c | 673.66$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.61 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Under | 29c | 647.76$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 19c | 630.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.07 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under | 15c | 613.33$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 302 | 20.2%61 W · 241 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 20c | 598.5$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e6…5501backed Under | 15c | 594$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 230 | 36.1%83 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…e0c1backed Under | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Under | 17c | 588.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Over | 68c | 558.82$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Under | 18c | 555.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 266 | 47%125 W · 141 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 13c | 551.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Under | 15c | 550$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 197 | 23.4%46 W · 151 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Under | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.7wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f14…026ebacked Under | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 659 | 48.6%320 W · 339 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…88f0backed Under | 14c | 511.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x650a…e1aebacked Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde92…8159backed Over | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 21c | 499.97$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.99 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0823…ec6abacked Over | 80c | 497$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 431 | 39%168 W · 263 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 14c | 491$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 23c | 485.85$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.92 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Under | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 24.5%47 W · 145 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…4036backed Under | 45c | 473.2$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.94 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 79c | 468.16$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.26 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Over | 80c | 453.83$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.77 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300f…dd62backed Over | 78c | 446.76$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.29 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…130bbacked Over | 61c | 443.51$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.97 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e6…86b1backed Over | 68c | 439.38$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.38 | 110 | 44.5%49 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2b…97b2backed Under | 24c | 420$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e4…835ebacked Over | 79c | 400$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…44aabacked Over | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 15c | 399$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 20c | 398.73$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.44 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 15c | 398$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 19c | 391$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e6…e3c2backed Over | 79c | 382.08$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5this page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.