Fifa International · resolved market
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa43e8e846bc0b9fc49ae6d66c1eae07383242577495efc43a2dca4e71d9138c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,111
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,111 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 71c | 4,217$2,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.18 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Over | 30c | 3,561$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.2 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,374$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.41 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5f…1695backed Over | 30c | 1,660$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 372 | 23.9%89 W · 283 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 29c | 880.44$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.36 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 71c | 727.75$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…8c97backed Over | 31c | 621.75$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 161 | 23.6%38 W · 123 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 70c | 553.15$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 71c | 543.67$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.09 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Under | 74c | 496.33$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.05 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b6…4ababacked Over | 29c | 399.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 450 | 38.2%172 W · 278 L | -28.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 70c | 301.46$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 70c | 271.97$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.83 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked Over | 12c | 269$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.28 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4681…dbecbacked Over | 31c | 261.29$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Over | 11c | 234.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.81 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c0…b876backed Over | 31c | 222.35$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…6137backed Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc0…6872backed Under | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 166 | 56.6%94 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 69c | 181$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 69c | 180.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Over | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 25c | 126$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 69c | 119.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…f422backed Over | 29c | 110.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d89…dc09backed Over | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…521bbacked Over | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a5…138bbacked Over | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Over | 29c | 96.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 345 | 26.1%90 W · 255 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b7…d0c8backed Over | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 287 | 47%135 W · 152 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…d978backed Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 164 | 42.1%69 W · 95 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 71c | 79.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed Under | 72c | 78.73$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 248 | 43.1%107 W · 141 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 31c | 77.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 71c | 74.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Under | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 71c | 63.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Over | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 72c | 52.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.71 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd170…a9d9backed Over | 30c | 49.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 71c | 39.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f08…cbe8backed Over | 32c | 38.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 29c | 35.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Under | 71c | 28.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.27 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 69c | 24.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ca16backed Under | 74c | 23.65$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Under | 74c | 22.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 71c | 20.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed Under | 71c | 15.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.33 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 41 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5Over won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5Under won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to AdvanceParaguay won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?Yes won
- Spread: Germany (-1.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-2.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-3.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-4.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Germany (-5.5)Paraguay won
- Spread: Paraguay (-1.5)Germany won
- Spread: Paraguay (-2.5)Germany won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.