TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ecc…415a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
317
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 55 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT28747%135 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 287 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+609.2%+$304.61
Spain leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$70.21
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Michael Olise: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$113.33
France vs. England: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+172%+$34.41
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Désiré Doué: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$32.23
France vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
France vs. England: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
France vs. England: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+77.7%+$93.21
Showing 25 of 287 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. Sabah FK: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
ŠK Slovan Bratislava leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Celtic FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.05
Fenerbahçe SK leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 10 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$53.33
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Exact Score: Casa Pia AC 1 - 2 Sport Lisboa e Benfica?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Samsunspor vs. Göztepe SK: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Beşiktaş JK leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
FC Porto leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
SBV Excelsior vs. PSV: PSV O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Galatasaray SK vs. Çorum FK: Çorum FK O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+86%+$42.99
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Elche CF: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.