Other European Leagues · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe098e5e98dcadc95d348da70ec73104e0cf8d4a52b27e9ccef0936c2ce0d3e23
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 63c | 551.44$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.56 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +8.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +19%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 466.71$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.81 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 61c | 411.03$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.42 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.32 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 39c | 276.99$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 193.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…b07abacked Yes | 63c | 158.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 37c | 136.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.38 | 324 | 36.4%118 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 62c | 134.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 60c | 46.67$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.67 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.