TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Sparksof Atlanta Dream, Los Angeles Sparks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$106,049
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$106,930

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,049 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6820…1c19backed Los Angeles Sparks50c60,000$29,793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,207.153455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+15.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream51c19,191$9,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,859.821,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream53c10,238$5,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,413.6699548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Atlanta Dream51c9,433$4,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,782.926953.2%143 W · 126 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Los Angeles Sparks47c8,035$3,776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,258.5527449.6%136 W · 138 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Atlanta Dream50c6,423$3,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.8438650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Atlanta Dream50c6,101$3,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,050.35657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Los Angeles Sparks47c4,789$2,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.242334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Los Angeles Sparks47c3,037$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.6211457.9%66 W · 48 L+9.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Los Angeles Sparks46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6203444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Atlanta Dream52c2,606$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.3746247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Los Angeles Sparks46c2,235$1,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.767549.3%37 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Atlanta Dream50c2,225$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.55360.4%32 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlanta Dream52c2,190$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.0641145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Dream50c2,020$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01020947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Atlanta Dream50c1,912$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$955.986154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Atlanta Dream53c1,507$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.3837141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Atlanta Dream52c1,461$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752.313048.5%63 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d42…eb8ebacked Atlanta Dream57c1,407$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8003534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-37.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Atlanta Dream58c1,321$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$760.6950952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream57c1,109$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.481,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Dream54c999$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.4655255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Atlanta Dream50c981.04$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.522948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Atlanta Dream50c972.04$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.026749.3%33 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream52c917.43$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.2483748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Atlanta Dream56c893.85$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.9723049.6%114 W · 116 L-13.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2206…49d6backed Atlanta Dream55c689.65$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.53560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream51c684.48$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2289349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlanta Dream50c607.16$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.5838645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream51c600.31$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.0578548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d23…251cbacked Atlanta Dream50c582.8$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Atlanta Dream52c563.55$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.7823746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed Atlanta Dream50c490.52$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.267647.4%36 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Los Angeles Sparks48c484$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.41650%8 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Atlanta Dream56c462.19$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.835364.2%34 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x124e…1c58backed Atlanta Dream61c450.77$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.173548.6%17 W · 18 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Sparks48c425.54$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.9764152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Atlanta Dream50c408.96$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.4815048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10d4…69ebbacked Los Angeles Sparks51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1962347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Atlanta Dream50c392.15$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.0810552.4%55 W · 50 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Atlanta Dream51c268.68$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2474942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Atlanta Dream50c247$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.55042%21 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Atlanta Dream50c236.92$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.4614452.8%76 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Atlanta Dream54c213.51$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3410050%50 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Atlanta Dream50c212$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10611156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccc4…b44abacked Los Angeles Sparks48c209.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.68475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Atlanta Dream52c206.88$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.769345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Atlanta Dream48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb904…3ef8backed Atlanta Dream54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1084461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Los Angeles Sparks46c192.71$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.061850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Los Angeles Sparks46c187.13$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.052825%7 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Atlanta Dream61c181.79$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.224546.9%115 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Atlanta Dream28c179.98$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.398038.8%31 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c1b…85c8backed Atlanta Dream62c166.97$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9115451.9%80 W · 74 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe00b…256fbacked Atlanta Dream56c165.11$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925949.2%29 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Atlanta Dream50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlanta Dream42c139.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4328647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1914…36f9backed Atlanta Dream36c134$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0938…a9a8backed Atlanta Dream50c131.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.741442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Atlanta Dream52c130.62$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.369651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3c…35cfbacked Atlanta Dream50c128$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648438.1%32 W · 52 L-7.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Atlanta Dream53c127.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.376845.6%31 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fca…3487backed Atlanta Dream50c127.04$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.521136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-29%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Dream53c121.48$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Atlanta Dream65c117.62$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.452528%7 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Los Angeles Sparks53c110.13$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7136750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5db…5800backed Atlanta Dream48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503455.9%19 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked Atlanta Dream50c101$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.51631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Atlanta Dream43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4313138.9%51 W · 80 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Atlanta Dream53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538746%40 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Atlanta Dream52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5227049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d29…65e7backed Atlanta Dream48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Atlanta Dream55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559156%51 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Atlanta Dream59c99.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.931973.7%14 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Atlanta Dream55c98.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3212661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Atlanta Dream51c97.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Atlanta Dream50c91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.56654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Atlanta Dream35c83.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5437850%189 W · 189 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Atlanta Dream53c83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.992853.6%15 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Atlanta Dream50c81$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.532948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe66f…0f3ebacked Atlanta Dream50c80.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.42035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-26.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Los Angeles Sparks53c80.47$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2171245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Atlanta Dream54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.183647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2889…edcfbacked Atlanta Dream54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.21650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3829…89a9backed Los Angeles Sparks47c79.72$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Atlanta Dream59c74.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.812650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…7d5fbacked Atlanta Dream57c74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Dream49c67.89$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0832540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa250…b806backed Los Angeles Sparks50c65.36$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.681656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb445…e4a3backed Los Angeles Sparks47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Atlanta Dream50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf247…d8cabacked Atlanta Dream50c56.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.31450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Atlanta Dream53c51.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.558447.6%40 W · 44 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Atlanta Dream61c51.37$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.518850%94 W · 94 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Los Angeles Sparks45c49.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2432346.7%151 W · 172 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8e…b38fbacked Atlanta Dream59c49.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.461872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Atlanta Dream59c49.94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.461681.3%13 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.23per pick58cpaid+40.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x50e6…b490backed Atlanta Dream54c49.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.68955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Los Angeles Sparks47c45.54$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0617343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Atlanta Dream56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.