WNBA · resolved market
Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae646804a8c3172f47bc85c97adca0b17e4d8e4bf287c3fb1b0edc7c056478b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7982…968dbacked No | 65c | 550.64$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.72 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb392…b2bbbacked Yes | 35c | 422.87$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…13ffbacked Yes | 34c | 270.88$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba85…719cbacked Yes | 32c | 186.55$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 66c | 184.48$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.17 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe57a…c543backed Yes | 35c | 173.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…4874backed No | 66c | 119.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.04 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…0b63backed No | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Yes | 35c | 40.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed No | 66c | 30.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked No | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rae Burrell: Points O/U 15.5this page
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles SparksAtlanta Dream won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 182.5Under won
- Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 183.5Under won
- Rae Burrell: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Rae Burrell: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-10.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-9.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.