Europa Conference League · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56a88d42419464db170a53db4cbd365f479877e8451a5da97ee36efd60ada88b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 8,464$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.5 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed No | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…4ac2backed No | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8534…a1eebacked Yes | 48c | 1,444$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 1,119$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.38 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,119$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.65 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes | 53c | 1,080$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 46c | 528.54$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.8 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed No | 48c | 448.32$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 47c | 307.35$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.46 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 53c | 255.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 33c | 233.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.79 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 55c | 215.51$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 53cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Yes | 54c | 188.19$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.45 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 46c | 178.19$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.13 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 52c | 164$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd87e…36fabacked Yes | 32c | 129.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 48c | 97.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 36c | 97.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.19 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…142bbacked No | 31c | 96.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 81 | 21%17 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 48c | 90.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 42c | 79.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Yes | 54c | 75$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 47c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked No | 47c | 54.18$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.66 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…4c2dbacked Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 46c | 49.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 56c | 43.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked No | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.52 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked No | 45c | 37.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…6a89backed Yes | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…3319backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 45c | 33.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 46c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Yes | 52c | 30.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked No | 48c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +69%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…082ebacked Yes | 55c | 20.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccab…46f9backed Yes | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 55cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.