Europa Conference League · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74d4011d1fab78b76a66d75efb545700e885c9c57fae5e60687107a30ee3e335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 63c | 4,498$2,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.75 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 29c | 4,260$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.52 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 3,932$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.76 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 38c | 3,919$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,429.81 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 3,179$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.82 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Under | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 45c | 1,121$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.79 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 20c | 852.14$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.42 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 47c | 698$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.7 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 48c | 639.72$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.89 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Over | 53c | 612.71$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.74 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 41c | 485.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.58 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Under | 49c | 371.14$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.28 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 304.42$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.49 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…2501backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…3b3bbacked Over | 69c | 290.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.78 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 271.17$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 15c | 221.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.79 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 153.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 152.67$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 34c | 143.29$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 49c | 132.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.24 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 44c | 120$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…6f2abacked Over | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 62c | 114.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.32 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 110.98$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026d…47edbacked Under | 46c | 109$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 64c | 102.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Under | 49c | 93.35$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 62c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.8 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…7ba3backed Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 77.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1737…2b2fbacked Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 52c | 71.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 45c | 70$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 64c | 63.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaedb…91fdbacked Over | 60c | 60.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 52c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 334 | 46.7%156 W · 178 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 47c | 46.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2374…a426backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 52c | 39.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0741…4cb0backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 41c | 37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Under | 45c | 36.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 52c | 36.34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 58c | 34.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 33.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Under | 45c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Under | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +69%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 61c | 32.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 57c | 32.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 47c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 54c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e05backed Over | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.