Europa Conference League · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32ff58776e900f78c4206f1233d1a9e521a0f779f9b6d41f79fe7be18455f31b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,834
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,834 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 64c | 8,754$5,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,581.93 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 40c | 3,769$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,274.46 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 1,962$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.4 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Over | 56c | 1,274$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 35c | 816.31$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 47c | 732.77$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.29 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 80c | 371.21$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 65c | 313.71$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.8 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 31c | 282.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 264.01$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.17 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 65c | 256$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.6 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 42c | 234$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.28 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 46c | 218.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.7 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 39c | 199.33$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Under | 42c | 188$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.04 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 23c | 120.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 43c | 99.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.99 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 77.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Over | 24c | 70.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 59.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…8c93backed Over | 36c | 38.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 41c | 37.68$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 67c | 30.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 33c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Over | 33c | 30.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 47c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 48c | 23.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 83 | 16.9%14 W · 69 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 70c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Under | 65c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.