Europa Conference League · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8eb98808edc174fe679d03536ca103ce5ec2171e9de5c5b6c3f719be72cf2b72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,542
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 19c | 4,232$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.14 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2393…d54dbacked Over | 31c | 3,000$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.05 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 2,844$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.11 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 9c | 1,357$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 69c | 815.48$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.64 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…882dbacked Under | 70c | 214.85$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 22c | 206.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.77 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Under | 68c | 205.87$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 30c | 190$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Under | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 20c | 109$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 72c | 103.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 29c | 93.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 77c | 89.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Over | 29c | 78.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Over | 30c | 75.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 30c | 66.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…7f01backed Under | 65c | 63.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 43c | 55.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.13 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 61c | 53.5$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked Under | 68c | 52.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 70c | 46.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 70c | 46.22$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 70c | 42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 70c | 41.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 69c | 37.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 32c | 34.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x015a…bf68backed Under | 59c | 23.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 70c | 20.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.06 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Under | 72c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.