Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb20b64c9418086a8f7110cc4bf0efb143602b2713786a122b8c565501a3afb9a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ferencvárosi TCof Trabzonspor, Ferencvárosi TC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Trabzonspor | 26c | 1,675$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 2,478 | 33.9%840 W · 1,638 L | -95.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Trabzonspor | 5c | 947.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.76 | 1,611 | 38.8%625 W · 986 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ferencvárosi TC | 79c | 889.7$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.41 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Trabzonspor | 6c | 691.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.52 | 149 | 31.5%47 W · 102 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 68c | 512$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.84 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Trabzonspor | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 67c | 242.17$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Trabzonspor | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Ferencvárosi TC | 77c | 135.53$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Trabzonspor | 34c | 104.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Trabzonspor | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 77.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Trabzonspor | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Trabzonspor | 32c | 67.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 482 | 49.8%240 W · 242 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Trabzonspor | 22c | 59.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 73c | 48.71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked Trabzonspor | 32c | 46.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…a319backed Trabzonspor | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Trabzonspor | 34c | 37.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Ferencvárosi TC | 65c | 32.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Trabzonspor | 34c | 32.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 256 | 41%105 W · 151 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Trabzonspor | 33c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 30.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 571 | 49.6%283 W · 288 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Trabzonspor | 35c | 29.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 658 | 35.6%234 W · 424 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5c9…a4fcbacked Ferencvárosi TC | 68c | 29.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Ferencvárosi TC | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 20.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 18.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Ferencvárosi TC | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Ferencvárosi TC | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Ferencvárosi TC | 78c | 13.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.97 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.