Europa Conference League · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfdac14eac69bd9ad22d1a0e82f98aa0c989a15c0d22e329208b1ef12b0a26182
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 46c | 4,791$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,609.26 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Over | 18c | 4,521$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.62 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 37c | 3,355$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,123.52 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 21c | 1,989$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 32c | 1,777$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.4 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 76c | 1,644$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.42 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 77c | 1,558$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…abb2backed Under | 79c | 1,354$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d2…7babbacked Over | 13c | 1,200$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.99 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 79c | 1,144$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 38c | 853.48$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.21 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 21c | 753.49$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.26 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…92c1backed Under | 77c | 550.36$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 41c | 490.34$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 24c | 416.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Under | 79c | 365.85$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 35c | 294.8$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.57 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 72c | 277.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 40c | 265$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ca…ac4cbacked Under | 59c | 254.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 76c | 224.89$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.97 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 76c | 191.74$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 384 | 53.1%204 W · 180 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 71c | 175$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 22c | 174.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 25c | 166.73$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.29 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 31c | 164.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 32c | 160$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.8 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 43c | 148.64$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.91 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 79c | 131.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 74c | 120$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.8 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 41c | 104.38$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.3 | 198 | 48%95 W · 103 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 18c | 86.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 40c | 80.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 78c | 66.6$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 23c | 60$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…6f2abacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…a1c4backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 26c | 39.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +149.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 77c | 29.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 67c | 27.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…1ee9backed Over | 78c | 24.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 51c | 23.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e05backed Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 20.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 52c | 19.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c2…190dbacked Over | 62c | 18.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2688backed Under | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Ferencvárosi TC (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-1.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Spread: Trabzonspor (-2.5)Ferencvárosi TC won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 1.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Ferencvárosi TC O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 0.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Ferencvárosi TC: Trabzonspor O/U 1.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.