Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37239d4cecd47353a44bbe5dc79ba41fa62f29a0dbfc3aad70d24ba5539b4ab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aarhus GFof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Aarhus GF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 46c | 29,438$13,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,652.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Aarhus GF | 51c | 15,809$8,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,746.41 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 50c | 7,808$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked Aarhus GF | 54c | 7,075$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Aarhus GF | 56c | 5,892$3,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.1 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Aarhus GF | 51c | 4,411$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.39 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Aarhus GF | 51c | 4,326$2,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.61 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Aarhus GF | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aarhus GF | 50c | 3,375$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.43 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 49c | 2,756$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350.32 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 2,346$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.73 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…0d13backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 1,808$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.49 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Aarhus GF | 55c | 1,771$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.66 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Aarhus GF | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 926.38$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.55 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 54c | 699.99$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Aarhus GF | 51c | 660.8$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.06 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 47c | 630.82$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.21 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 67c | 600$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aarhus GF | 55c | 583.79$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.96 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Aarhus GF | 51c | 506.4$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.33 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Aarhus GF | 50c | 506$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 50c | 360.56$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.59 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Aarhus GF | 53c | 354.72$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.37 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 43c | 345.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Aarhus GF | 50c | 334$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Aarhus GF | 50c | 309.39$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.9 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…0108backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 31c | 196.27$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Aarhus GF | 30c | 195.08$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.56 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f1…2fa5backed Aarhus GF | 50c | 195.08$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Aarhus GF | 51c | 184$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.16 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 42c | 179.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…ff8cbacked Aarhus GF | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 43c | 174.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5149…52b2backed Aarhus GF | 57c | 171.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 38c | 144.61$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Aarhus GF | 65c | 137.98$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Aarhus GF | 67c | 134.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.41 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 50c | 127$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Aarhus GF | 51c | 126.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Aarhus GF | 52c | 122$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 78c | 113.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Aarhus GF | 61c | 101.61$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Aarhus GF | 52c | 100.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c6…f5c0backed Aarhus GF | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c04…1844backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 68c | 99.46$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Aarhus GF | 53c | 91.87$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 50c | 87.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Aarhus GF | 40c | 87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.77 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Aarhus GF | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Aarhus GF | 61c | 78.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 43c | 77.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Aarhus GF | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Aarhus GF | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Aarhus GF | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Aarhus GF | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Aarhus GF | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Aarhus GF | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Aarhus GF | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 47c | 71.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Aarhus GF | 54c | 71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 24c | 69.72$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 44c | 68.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Aarhus GF | 56c | 67.79$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.83 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf0…fdbebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 49c | 67.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Aarhus GF | 50c | 65.81$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.62 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…017dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 65.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Aarhus GF | 51c | 59.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…3469backed Aarhus GF | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 32c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 63c | 49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.87 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c4…85c2backed Aarhus GF | 51c | 47.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Aarhus GF | 67c | 45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 38c | 44.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Aarhus GF | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Aarhus GF | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 43.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb989…2166backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 78c | 43.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c5…f623backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 33c | 41.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 48c | 39.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Aarhus GF | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Aarhus GF | 55c | 38.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Aarhus GF | 55c | 38.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 46c | 35.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 33.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21a7…352dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.