Europa Conference League · resolved market
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6a3ebaa9290f25a0d29c355c23c90a5f4fa71722c78515a6c5ec64992acde8b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,604
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde31…df79backed Over | 51c | 105,817$53,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,115.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 51c | 31,578$16,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,093.87 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 43c | 20,328$8,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,733.69 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 16,409$7,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,941.94 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583e…a2a6backed Under | 50c | 10,000$4,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,960 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Under | 48c | 7,000$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 48c | 4,285$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.77 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 3,876$1,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470.64 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 66c | 3,628$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712e…0485backed Under | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8762…0d85backed Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 51c | 2,815$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.24 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…7016backed Under | 37c | 2,686$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 51c | 2,180$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.5 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Over | 49c | 2,070$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.63 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c6…0d13backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,652$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 47c | 1,455$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.94 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…bb8abacked Under | 47c | 1,256$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 1,038$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.7 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 53c | 845.1$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.2 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 62c | 756.78$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.54 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 54c | 747.89$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.03 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 54c | 616.97$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.31 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Under | 50c | 567.63$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.08 | 182 | 52.7%96 W · 86 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 512$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 275 | 45.8%126 W · 149 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 49c | 436.42$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.43 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c55…4a8cbacked Under | 45c | 423.51$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.36per pick | 50cpaid | +77.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 50c | 400$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 53c | 366.14$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.64 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…7169backed Over | 54c | 323.9$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Under | 48c | 297$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 29c | 285.15$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.46 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 48c | 277$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 271.88$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.62 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 48c | 266.93$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.24 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 48c | 260$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a4…adadbacked Over | 71c | 253.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 223.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Over | 76c | 213.33$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.7 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Under | 51c | 205.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Under | 47c | 197.23$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Under | 51c | 196.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 69c | 186.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Under | 48c | 173.85$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 48c | 170.19$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Under | 45c | 131.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under | 48c | 120.81$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Under | 48c | 118.45$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.86 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 48c | 114.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.18 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 18c | 106.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 71c | 102.79$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…d093backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f8…0108backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed Over | 79c | 88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.58 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 476 | 49.4%235 W · 241 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 39c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 359 | 44.8%161 W · 198 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…92cbbacked Under | 48c | 82.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 38c | 77.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.56 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed Over | 53c | 74.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.93 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 134 | 67.9%91 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 70c | 58$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed Under | 47c | 56.55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 123 | 58.5%72 W · 51 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 57c | 56$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 34c | 54.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 32c | 51.69$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…9351backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 49c | 48.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 182 | 44.5%81 W · 101 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 32c | 46.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Under | 50c | 45.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf50…480fbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Over | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b24…4247backed Over | 52c | 38.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 28c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Under | 50c | 35.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Under | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0a…b267backed Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…cf0abacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +235.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 3.5this page
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Aarhus GF: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Aarhus GF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.