Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa41c7bc93ca26dba098bf0ae788ef8f629114ebd80f47553d77345ad12633b5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,629
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,629 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 36c | 4,627$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.07 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 1,484$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.8 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 1,337$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.58 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 58c | 999.95$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.98 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 63c | 688.6$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 536.87$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 42c | 468.16$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.39 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…39bbbacked Yes | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Yes | 18c | 272.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 42c | 244.31$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.61 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Yes | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 58c | 144.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 42c | 117.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 115.98$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 48c | 108.33$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 91.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 90.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 58c | 83.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.23 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed No | 60c | 65.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 62.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 68c | 57.62$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7a…c69fbacked No | 59c | 52.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Yes | 41c | 49.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…1cd3backed Yes | 41c | 48.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 35.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Yes | 44c | 24.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 91 | 35.2%32 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 60c | 20.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Casa Pia AC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Casa Pia AC O/U 0.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.