TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sport Lisboa e Benficaof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Casa Pia AC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,879
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,879 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica55c3,664$2,003 inWon+$1,660.897,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Casa Pia AC62c1,613$1,000 inLost-$1,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Casa Pia AC64c999.98$640 inLost-$639.997326%19 W · 54 L-0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-48%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Casa Pia AC61c599.99$366 inLost-$36611254.5%61 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Casa Pia AC35c568.91$198 inLost-$198.412,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9f8…0108backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica36c556$200 inWon+$355.842218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Casa Pia AC36c390.61$140 inLost-$140.0692043.4%399 W · 521 L-4.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x153a…af29backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica60c255.75$153 inWon+$102.33375.8%25 W · 8 L+9.1wins+0.28per pick48cpaid+61.7%equal weight67+0.16 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica71c255.75$182 inWon+$74.1771533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbecf…0f51backed Casa Pia AC61c245.9$150 inLost-$1502564%16 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Casa Pia AC66c227.27$150 inLost-$1506245.2%28 W · 34 L-9.2wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-27.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Casa Pia AC65c201.42$131 inLost-$131.1573440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica39c201.4$79 inWon+$122.851,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Casa Pia AC61c200$122 inLost-$12214050%70 W · 70 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica35c174$61 inWon+$113.12,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica34c152.26$52 inWon+$100.499158.2%53 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa42f…b629backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica72c134.86$97 inWon+$37.763669.4%25 W · 11 L+7.6wins+0.21per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x00cb…6fa1backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica39c133.92$52 inWon+$81.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Casa Pia AC59c119.85$71 inLost-$70.952,06848.1%995 W · 1,073 L+2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc5…6984backed Casa Pia AC65c80$52 inLost-$5210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Casa Pia AC65c70$46 inLost-$45.514339.2%56 W · 87 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica40c62.76$25 inWon+$37.951,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4cd…c041backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica72c51.15$37 inWon+$14.32650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Casa Pia AC46c50$23 inLost-$237044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica69c50$35 inWon+$15.521247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed Casa Pia AC62c48.49$30 inLost-$302748.1%13 W · 14 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick67cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica66c47.12$31 inWon+$16.0355954.9%307 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica66c47.11$31 inWon+$16.0332257.8%186 W · 136 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica55c34$19 inWon+$15.424466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica53c32.64$17 inWon+$15.2535163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica48c31.24$15 inWon+$16.1133959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Casa Pia AC60c25.98$16 inLost-$15.5911837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Casa Pia AC65c24.06$16 inLost-$15.6487745.2%396 W · 481 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Casa Pia AC65c24.06$16 inLost-$15.641764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Casa Pia AC65c21.98$14 inLost-$14.285743.9%25 W · 32 L-8.1wins-0.14per pick58cpaid-29.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.