Other European Leagues · resolved market
Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9be3d01945e2dbe7109e97b5357434c9e5db55ea54450f491a6299add3bd112f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 3,872$2,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,837.94 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 724.41$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.86 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3612…3302backed Under | 49c | 612.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 17c | 576.94$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.08 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 75c | 537.02$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 503$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.04 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd6…5264backed Over | 70c | 472.53$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 9c | 426.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.81 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Under | 80c | 270$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 9c | 264.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.64 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 20c | 253.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 26c | 201.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.96 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 49c | 196.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.98 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…7a8fbacked Under | 70c | 160.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Under | 34c | 120$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.66 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 58c | 112.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd4…b303backed Over | 10c | 111.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +231.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 29c | 105$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 138 | 60.1%83 W · 55 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 76c | 97.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 68c | 96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Under | 21c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 48c | 69.32$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 48c | 68.4$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…b2cebacked Over | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Under | 47c | 61.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed Over | 64c | 56.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 25c | 56.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 48c | 51.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.83 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 63c | 32.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 48c | 32.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 75c | 26.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 5.5this page
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Casa Pia AC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Casa Pia AC O/U 0.5Under won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 1.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 0.5Over won
- Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Sport Lisboa e Benfica O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
- Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)Sport Lisboa e Benfica won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.