TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Casa Pia AC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,989
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,989 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Under72c545$393 inWon+$151.6171533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over24c416.67$100 inLost-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Under37c271.78$100 inWon+$171.781428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-45.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under68c262.16$177 inWon+$85.173053.3%16 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c151.57$88 inLost-$87.967,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c134.15$59 inLost-$59.095,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35cf…6fabbacked Over24c83.33$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over63c80.2$50 inLost-$50.21770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+82.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over66c75$50 inLost-$49.5771.4%5 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick72cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e16…4698backed Over55c54.55$30 inLost-$302070%14 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+39.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over34c44.28$15 inLost-$15.0621953.4%117 W · 102 L+11.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.