TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sport Lisboa e Benficaof Sport Lisboa e Benfica, Casa Pia AC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Casa Pia AC42c22,405$9,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,426.281540%6 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica62c20,282$12,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,707.0917460.3%105 W · 69 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Casa Pia AC38c8,168$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,106.532436.4%118 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica58c3,167$1,835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,332.392,01235.5%714 W · 1,298 L-27.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica62c2,283$1,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.672,00136.5%730 W · 1,271 L-25.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c2,000$1,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82011952.9%63 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Casa Pia AC44c1,402$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.1773440.1%294 W · 440 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Casa Pia AC19c1,238$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.752,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101,11351%568 W · 545 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c960.95$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.996861.8%42 W · 26 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica61c769.6$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.327,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c766.31$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.41,43437.7%540 W · 894 L-3.6wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9f8…0108backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c657.87$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.732218.2%4 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-40.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Casa Pia AC38c551.17$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.4411254.5%61 W · 51 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica57c543$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.711,46748%704 W · 763 L+3.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica57c526.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica56c500.85$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.5191148%437 W · 474 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica58c476$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.561,71148.3%827 W · 884 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Casa Pia AC45c450$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.195848.3%28 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1648160.5%49 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c316$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.561,10747.7%528 W · 579 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81bc…fcfabacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica57c263.16$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica62c245.05$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.127470.3%52 W · 22 L+14.0wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+40.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Casa Pia AC38c241.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.957338.4%28 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa212…9161backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica57c209.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.33046.7%14 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8210753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$783369.7%23 W · 10 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829761.9%60 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica62c180.34$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.531656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+55.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1719…b07abacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.934100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa92b…a4dcbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.291850%9 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c159.15$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.259158.2%53 W · 38 L+11.8wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+32.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c156$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.966360.3%38 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Casa Pia AC39c96.57$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1411837.3%44 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c78.6$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1524466%161 W · 83 L+15.8wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica57c73$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.394042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x910a…1aa7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica56c71.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.681764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica57c70$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.85853.4%31 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x853e…f16abacked Casa Pia AC44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c66.04$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3933959%200 W · 139 L+18.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica60c64$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.65545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c60.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.991662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Casa Pia AC40c59.19$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.498746%40 W · 47 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica58c56.22$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8617650%88 W · 88 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica56c51.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.516669.7%46 W · 20 L+10.8wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+28.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c50.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.845149%25 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Casa Pia AC38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197044.3%31 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb8f…f96abacked Casa Pia AC41c47.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.47366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+39.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe90f…a908backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica61c46.75$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.231861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Casa Pia AC41c44.43$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2218756.1%105 W · 82 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica68c43.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7412664.3%81 W · 45 L+16.3wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica57c40.84$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.599135.2%32 W · 59 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.49258.7%54 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7953…9fd1backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica67c29.76$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.771030%3 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d3…a568backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica57c26.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+43.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6f06…9898backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica57c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica74c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.523747.7%113 W · 124 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica62c23.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.117671.1%54 W · 22 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+13.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x077c…5df1backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica56c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.682458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee3…017dbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica62c20.74$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.88850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica60c20.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3135163.5%223 W · 128 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica56c20.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.918050%40 W · 40 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfd…a7e7backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica56c20.04$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…1586backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.8837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc80f…93c8backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+46.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.210458.7%61 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.29256.5%52 W · 40 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.28258.5%48 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b04…403fbacked Sport Lisboa e Benfica62c19.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.452373.9%17 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick54cpaid+28.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.