TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,275
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$70,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,275 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1509…ca95backed Under48c16,941$8,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,809.2912255.7%68 W · 54 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x41d2…d7c9backed Over52c15,385$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0002245.5%10 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under46c7,520$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,035.5323046.5%107 W · 123 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over53c5,682$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e5…9105backed Under48c4,167$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.67520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69f6…a5d3backed Under49c4,061$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.11850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over52c3,321$1,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,720.7640655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a93…f34cbacked Over54c3,201$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.486259.7%37 W · 25 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under46c2,500$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.9724635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x941d…0839backed Over52c2,000$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0402416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00018936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over52c1,776$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.521,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,531$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.712,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under43c1,393$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.9740163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x84cd…7565backed Over56c1,348$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7507425.7%19 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under48c1,311$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$685.311,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00da…d262backed Under49c1,200$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6128045%36 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c1,164$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.368,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c1,021$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.21,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under48c976.98$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.343,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28c2…bfe3backed Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008710.3%9 W · 78 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-58.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8460…141dbacked Over52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-60%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over51c868.42$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.591,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c803.76$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.1275729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Over57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39911247.3%53 W · 59 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0f9…4259backed Under48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3255330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Over51c510$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.15630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid+42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f5…ea34backed Over53c473.15$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.7722242.3%94 W · 128 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x851f…642fbacked Under49c408.57$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.5717444.8%78 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdae2…0ddebacked Under51c400$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.386327%17 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over51c388.57$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.1761752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf06f…11f3backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006726.9%18 W · 49 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+67.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2825…cbe7backed Over56c356.35$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7c…bf22backed Over57c351.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over52c319.4$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.0911343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over51c294.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.9967447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04f7…b0f4backed Over43c245$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.49475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+43.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xebed…3528backed Under48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.338349.4%41 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under47c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10528148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf751…65ccbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009949.5%49 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf464…5076backed Over51c188.94$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.361450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda49…b396backed Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011634.5%40 W · 76 L-8.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7561…6d1abacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002250%11 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ec1…083cbacked Under49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd833…e657backed Under49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb034…4a5bbacked Under49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.67475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+55.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb16a…ef6cbacked Under49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x345a…2f5fbacked Under49c183.67$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d79…39f6backed Over52c183.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcddd…486fbacked Over52c183.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40a5…42d3backed Over52c183.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2a7d…283cbacked Over52c183.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f2…e59dbacked Over52c183.65$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over52c173.56$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.256442.2%27 W · 37 L-7.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Over52c173.08$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9014953%79 W · 70 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc255…62f8backed Under48c170$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under48c168$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.943145.2%195 W · 236 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Over14c145.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.534327.9%12 W · 31 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under46c143.09$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.621,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3629…9debbacked Over53c141.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2794…b2f5backed Over53c137.25$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.741145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb5…8135backed Over49c133.09$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d0…8dadbacked Under49c130$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.39146.2%42 W · 49 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b3a…d490backed Over53c125.57$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b34…2081backed Over53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb74c…f4f1backed Over56c107.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfa…85fabacked Over52c102.12$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.11553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd66f…bfd2backed Under49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+69%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x457e…1294backed Over54c101.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557234.7%25 W · 47 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd4cf…2770backed Under50c100.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.618447.6%40 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…0b63backed Over16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610945%49 W · 60 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526734.3%23 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf422…6aa5backed Under49c99.17$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.48977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff88…601dbacked Over50c96.52$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.268062.5%50 W · 30 L+11.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc5de…f03dbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under48c94.37$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.071,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x292b…697dbacked Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022343.9%98 W · 125 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5da5…e620backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x963a…b8fbbacked Over51c93$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.431866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a67…52edbacked Over54c92.68$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010952.3%57 W · 52 L-0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5028747%135 W · 152 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed8e…e61bbacked Over52c92.31$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…0153backed Over62c89.89$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.081457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8745…4658backed Over57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505655.4%31 W · 25 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under39c84.01$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.962,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7aa…abe3backed Under49c80$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.825753.3%137 W · 120 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c74…0d16backed Over16c77.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2629347.4%139 W · 154 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x263c…6540backed Under50c75.06$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.477150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfba…583cbacked Under69c71.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0192732.1%298 W · 629 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fcc…643fbacked Over56c68.96$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.495223.1%12 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-25.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x02ee…9eeabacked Under49c67.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.353046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed Over50c58.7$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.358725.3%22 W · 65 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb730…e9c2backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026646.2%123 W · 143 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4652…6343backed Under43c55.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.771241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Under48c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8320561%125 W · 80 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf596…7667backed Under48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.082842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under52c51.1$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3414450.7%73 W · 71 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…928fbacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262441.7%10 W · 14 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-31.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.53650%18 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.