TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,579
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,579 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over67c1,715$1,142 inWon+$573.318,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over64c1,251$800 inWon+$450.895644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under33c892.58$298 inLost-$298.21,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under37c783.21$290 inLost-$289.791,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under33c771.7$255 inLost-$254.523,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under37c597$221 inLost-$220.892,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over54c485.44$264 inWon+$220.9540163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xb65e…431abacked Under45c446$200 inLost-$2005437%20 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under34c251.82$87 inLost-$86.533,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef21…18babacked Under44c154.73$68 inLost-$68.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over63c113.36$71 inWon+$41.9475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Over63c100$63 inWon+$378256.1%46 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed Under37c99.98$37 inLost-$36.9928148.4%136 W · 145 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under34c96$33 inLost-$32.642,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xadae…bc30backed Over63c70$44 inWon+$25.92564%16 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+30.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7b1…5e42backed Over63c63.49$40 inWon+$23.494845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…0ff5backed Over55c53.12$29 inWon+$23.949364.5%60 W · 33 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x039c…0450backed Over63c50$32 inWon+$18.53228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1258…6a43backed Over56c40$22 inWon+$17.61384.6%11 W · 2 L+4.1wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+67.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x25fc…5c38backed Over63c39.68$25 inWon+$14.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1582…974dbacked Over63c31.75$20 inWon+$11.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.