Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebfd9daee4a4548942c80f55cbbe282ad101f016260120fe2477e1a015305c71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x008c…b77ebacked Under | 78c | 1,189$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.35 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Over | 24c | 1,010$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.3 | 285 | 26.3%75 W · 210 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…fdffbacked Over | 23c | 874.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 189 | 36%68 W · 121 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 20c | 712.57$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.36 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…708dbacked Under | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 93 | 72%67 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 79c | 640.5$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Over | 18c | 424.4$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.39 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 20c | 253.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 21c | 252.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b77…f057backed Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 77c | 221.39$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…22f7backed Over | 25c | 201.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 14.4%30 W · 178 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…927fbacked Over | 22c | 197.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.44 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 20c | 142.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 77c | 139.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…6b5fbacked Over | 24c | 126.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 200 | 25.5%51 W · 149 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…8dc5backed Over | 22c | 104.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff4…5c7dbacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 21c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 216 | 31%67 W · 149 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 76c | 71.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed Under | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1d…4597backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 69c | 22.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 518 | 59.8%310 W · 208 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…6106backed Under | 80c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.