Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84ffd6d84b1457be74b6c410fab6276459630a167228f069036ee44528db4376

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $10,884
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,629

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,884 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over	44c	2,984$1,306 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,678.02	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under	58c	2,931$1,686 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,685.67	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over	48c	1,049$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$548.85	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Under	49c	849.19$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.6	401	63.3%254 W · 147 L	+57.7wins	+0.14per pick	49cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under	55c	713.65$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.5	764	45.9%351 W · 413 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9a…f836backed Over	44c	523.71$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$293.14	30	20%6 W · 24 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under	53c	466.31$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.23	3,731	51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L	+55.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2794…b2f5backed Over	50c	311.02$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.51	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Over	43c	300$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171	58	32.8%19 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	51c	297.93$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.07	2,380	53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L	+76.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b8…b472backed Under	55c	289.98$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.36	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaec…32a1backed Over	45c	240.75$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.61	294	30.3%89 W · 205 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7561…6d1abacked Over	49c	205.77$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.77	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc10…262cbacked Over	48c	203.65$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.9	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over	50c	201.95$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.95	189	36%68 W · 121 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under	59c	197.01$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.67	1,475	44.9%663 W · 812 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b79…e5d8backed Over	50c	194.83$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.22	231	42.4%98 W · 133 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under	53c	194$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.24	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3565…8631backed Under	58c	190$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.2	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	56c	164.97$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.35	2,231	49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L	-21.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…66febacked Over	43c	149.25$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.07	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4388…fdbebacked Under	56c	148.04$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.9	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ae4…7c46backed Under	52c	126.18$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	158	59.5%94 W · 64 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	57cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under	51c	111.32$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.29	434	60.4%262 W · 172 L	+33.5wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1fd6…d4a0backed Over	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	42	47.6%20 W · 22 L	+4.4wins	+0.11per pick	37cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b78…e589backed Over	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	67	34.3%23 W · 44 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc5cf…c503backed Over	43c	99.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	+42.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4652…6343backed Under	54c	95$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.2	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x042c…7000backed Over	54c	80.26$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.26	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Under	51c	77.69$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.01	238	58%138 W · 100 L	+14.1wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7936…1afebacked Over	51c	71.92$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.52	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Under	56c	71.06$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.84	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under	40c	70.67$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.07	2,453	34.7%850 W · 1,603 L	+84.3wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under	52c	67.45$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.07	778	45%350 W · 428 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…0724backed Over	42c	59.52$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.52	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2691…6c3cbacked Over	62c	48.28$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.28	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+34.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd5…3b1ebacked Over	45c	44.73$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.73	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed Over	43c	42$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	403	52.1%210 W · 193 L	+16.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83a7…bb13backed Over	44c	42$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	229	42.8%98 W · 131 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x378f…a862backed Over	43c	41$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.37	329	43.8%144 W · 185 L	-12.7wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under	58c	38.16$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	135	57.8%78 W · 57 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over	42c	35.66$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.79	237	41.8%99 W · 138 L	+7.6wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+12.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b25…81ccbacked Under	59c	35.33$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.17per pick	60cpaid	+37.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99b0…1d6bbacked Over	39c	30$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.3	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+63%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.02	1,151	58.5%673 W · 478 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under	52c	28.96$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.97	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa81…aaf7backed Under	47c	25.53$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	90	64.4%58 W · 32 L	+11.7wins	+0.13per pick	51cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdaba…a787backed Under	57c	25$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.25	158	57.6%91 W · 67 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbbf9…a44dbacked Under	59c	24$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.16	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb0e…a5b5backed Under	59c	22.88$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.22per pick	53cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf5…8652backed Under	58c	22.81$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.23	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1c7…6b7fbacked Under	57c	22.8$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee35…82e9backed Under	58c	21$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Under	57c	20.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	282	57.1%161 W · 121 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e49…d3d8backed Under	56c	20.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd679…91a0backed Under	52c	20$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.4	69	52.2%36 W · 33 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Under	59c	20$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	141	19.9%28 W · 113 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…745cbacked Under	57c	19.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	214	33.2%71 W · 143 L	-6.5wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89a…aa35backed Under	57c	19.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.94	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Cornersthis page
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First CornerSpain won
Spain vs. Argentina: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event