TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,812
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,042

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,812 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4652…6343backed Over57c1,441$819 inWon+$621.751241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Under60c1,000$600 inLost-$60024635.8%88 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80d9…708dbacked Under78c609.99$476 inLost-$475.89372%67 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick71cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over38c401.83$152 inWon+$249.3940163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under71c356.96$255 inLost-$254.883,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c309.5$110 inWon+$199.378,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under68c195.74$134 inLost-$133.822,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b77…f057backed Over32c157.19$50 inWon+$107.192729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+15.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over28c142.86$40 inWon+$102.861,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…c9cbbacked Over29c137.93$40 inWon+$97.931827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaab1…9678backed Under77c100.99$78 inLost-$77.766070%42 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6216…1bd4backed Over22c100$22 inWon+$7823741.8%99 W · 138 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d82…244dbacked Under23c99.98$23 inLost-$235078%39 W · 11 L+9.5wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+31.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under65c99.48$65 inLost-$64.5521846.8%102 W · 116 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+61.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2691…6c3cbacked Over77c97.79$75 inWon+$22.793863.2%24 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x03bf…1eb4backed Over33c87.99$29 inWon+$58.951936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf596…7667backed Over31c79.69$25 inWon+$54.692842.9%12 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…fbe3backed Over23c79.25$18 inWon+$61.022626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf83…35aebacked Under78c60.36$47 inLost-$47.083959%23 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under69c50$35 inLost-$34.52,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x008c…b77ebacked Under74c25$19 inLost-$18.52979.3%23 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+24.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under70c16.9$12 inLost-$11.92,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.