TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,882

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,651 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under69c555.52$385 inLost-$384.632,02543.7%884 W · 1,141 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over47c492.79$233 inWon+$259.791450%7 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Over48c296.33$142 inWon+$154.092100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Over29c257.93$75 inWon+$183.13119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under53c251.75$133 inLost-$133.2322552%117 W · 108 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c235.21$128 inWon+$107.6426931.6%85 W · 184 L-22.0wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed Under53c226.42$120 inLost-$12020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Over68c224.38$152 inWon+$72.251233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-54.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under53c132.06$70 inLost-$69.996222.6%14 W · 48 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under52c126$66 inLost-$65.5240450.7%205 W · 199 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under52c125.26$65 inLost-$65.1236942.5%157 W · 212 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under53c124$66 inLost-$65.7261148.3%295 W · 316 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c122.78$65 inLost-$64.8167649.4%334 W · 342 L-15.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…415abacked Over47c106.38$50 inWon+$56.381560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under57c96.26$55 inLost-$55.1918043.3%78 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over31c75.76$24 inWon+$52.021861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over47c74.42$35 inWon+$39.4430949.8%154 W · 155 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Under52c72.09$37 inLost-$37.499753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Over39c52$20 inWon+$31.94850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under52c51.79$27 inLost-$26.9352646.8%246 W · 280 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over49c51.02$25 inWon+$26.02862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+28.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over26c50$13 inWon+$378360.2%50 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over24c49.98$12 inWon+$37.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+19.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed Under71c48.34$35 inLost-$34.514858.3%28 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+25.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Over78c48$37 inWon+$10.787364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c34.82$11 inLost-$11.125245.2%114 W · 138 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over47c28.4$13 inWon+$14.9828833.3%96 W · 192 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Over48c25.05$12 inWon+$13.031266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x472c…5ae2backed Over48c25$12 inWon+$133560%21 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c23.79$11 inWon+$12.3791032.6%297 W · 613 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd97…ae50backed Under72c19.42$14 inLost-$14.03757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick69cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under72c14.51$10 inLost-$10.413956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+61.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.