TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
FK Bodø/Glimtof FK Bodø/Glimt, NEC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,364
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,219

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,364 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3b5a…87efbacked FK Bodø/Glimt21c3,960$820 inWon+$3,140.324341.9%18 W · 25 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick29cpaid+104.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed FK Bodø/Glimt20c1,635$327 inWon+$1,308771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+64.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked NEC79c1,575$1,251 inLost-$1,250.917443.7%76 W · 98 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NEC80c991$793 inLost-$792.818736.4%68 W · 119 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked FK Bodø/Glimt18c881$159 inWon+$722.4236142.4%153 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed NEC79c790.14$624 inLost-$624.2172335.5%257 W · 466 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed NEC9c774.34$74 inLost-$73.5246741.5%194 W · 273 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked FK Bodø/Glimt20c512$102 inWon+$409.629949.5%148 W · 151 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked FK Bodø/Glimt19c510.95$97 inWon+$413.871,51140.2%608 W · 903 L-6.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed FK Bodø/Glimt19c476.88$91 inWon+$386.2713936.7%51 W · 88 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+59.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked FK Bodø/Glimt21c476.19$100 inWon+$376.197429.7%22 W · 52 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee3…a899backed FK Bodø/Glimt22c453.57$100 inWon+$353.57366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+116.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed NEC25c377.08$94 inLost-$94.1623031.7%73 W · 157 L-18.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed NEC79c183.67$145 inLost-$144.8565050.2%326 W · 324 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed FK Bodø/Glimt28c176.44$49 inWon+$127.821,02135.3%360 W · 661 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed NEC73c172.04$125 inLost-$125.241,99443.9%875 W · 1,119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed NEC80c106.33$85 inLost-$8510151.5%52 W · 49 L-5.6wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed NEC78c96$75 inLost-$74.8850247.2%237 W · 265 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed NEC78c96$75 inLost-$74.8860748.4%294 W · 313 L-1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked FK Bodø/Glimt23c86.96$20 inWon+$66.962133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+115.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked NEC40c79.98$32 inLost-$31.9919856.6%112 W · 86 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked NEC68c76.36$52 inLost-$51.676347.6%30 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked NEC78c60$47 inLost-$47.138142.8%163 W · 218 L-22.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ecf…75d2backed NEC43c58.14$25 inLost-$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed FK Bodø/Glimt20c50.06$10 inWon+$40.052437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked FK Bodø/Glimt26c45.56$12 inWon+$33.5444647.3%211 W · 235 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x862f…200bbacked NEC79c37.97$30 inLost-$30977.8%7 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick79cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed NEC79c27.85$22 inLost-$22977.8%7 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick79cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69df…fe16backed NEC80c26.25$21 inLost-$21540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-32%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NEC78c25.63$20 inLost-$19.9917053.5%91 W · 79 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed NEC80c20$16 inLost-$163158.1%18 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfb3…f890backed NEC80c15.59$12 inLost-$12.454065%26 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+43.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.