Champions League · resolved market
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb570fac18cf2478c2110e0ad9d38cb2314b920cc99cb466927494f653857b96f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,263
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,114
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,263 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 34c | 2,575$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.01 | 498 | 40.4%201 W · 297 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 73c | 1,427$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.49 | 968 | 37.4%362 W · 606 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Under | 72c | 999.99$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 100 | 21%21 W · 79 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 67c | 831$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 20c | 829.35$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 269 | 31.6%85 W · 184 L | -22.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…49debacked Under | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 28c | 386.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc374…cee1backed Over | 37c | 381.44$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3062…4bc7backed Over | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Over | 11c | 366.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 46c | 362$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.48 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 343.44$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.81 | 2,025 | 43.7%884 W · 1,141 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Under | 72c | 278.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 28c | 253.72$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 454 | 52%236 W · 218 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 42c | 202.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 435 | 37.9%165 W · 270 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 178.39$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 676 | 49.4%334 W · 342 L | -15.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c2…1d5abacked Over | 28c | 138.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 27c | 136.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 910 | 32.6%297 W · 613 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 72c | 129.06$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 394 | 42.9%169 W · 225 L | -23.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 45c | 128.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…ddd3backed Under | 72c | 110.35$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 78c | 102.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Over | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 24c | 82.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Under | 58c | 71.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Over | 28c | 71.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 62.51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 214 | 16.8%36 W · 178 L | -38.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed Over | 21c | 59.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +5.0wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 51c | 57.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 28c | 51.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 71c | 49.33$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 28c | 39.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Under | 73c | 38.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf897…7f01backed Under | 68c | 38.24$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 36.5$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.04 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 31.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 315 | 56.5%178 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92c…d27ebacked Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc4…4870backed Under | 61c | 21.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Under | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 75c | 17.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 75c | 17.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5this page
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: NEC O/U 0.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: NEC O/U 1.5Under won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: NEC O/U 2.5Under won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 0.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)NEC won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: NEC (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.