Champions League · resolved market
NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3476a65f46e4d168974e4649e6ef4c717821609fe6ca293e297ccd6b88e56ef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,924
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Under | 34c | 5,028$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.47 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 68c | 2,318$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.81 | 467 | 41.5%194 W · 273 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 33c | 2,085$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.95 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 12c | 1,713$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.13 | 1,021 | 35.3%360 W · 661 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 66c | 1,693$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 43cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 44c | 1,172$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.29 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…0595backed Over | 55c | 999.97$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 67c | 999.97$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 136 | 44.1%60 W · 76 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Under | 32c | 999.96$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 32c | 999.89$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.96 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 33c | 982.36$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.11 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 68c | 930.12$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.64 | 723 | 35.5%257 W · 466 L | -28.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 68c | 887.91$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.13 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 16c | 807.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.96 | 446 | 47.3%211 W · 235 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 66c | 751.2$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.41 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 44c | 687.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 44c | 678.37$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 2c | 621$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 32c | 602.06$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.86 | 432 | 52.3%226 W · 206 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 68c | 577.31$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.74 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 24c | 547.1$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.02 | 397 | 43.3%172 W · 225 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb6…97c4backed Over | 68c | 500$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…44b7backed Over | 65c | 461.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…08edbacked Over | 51c | 399.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 70c | 342.16$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.43 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 68c | 339.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.37 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xded4…1e6dbacked Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 286 | 39.9%114 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 302.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.98 | 1,511 | 40.2%608 W · 903 L | -6.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f11…15b5backed Over | 57c | 299.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3d…d65dbacked Over | 67c | 298.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 31c | 287.7$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.61 | 318 | 47.5%151 W · 167 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 69c | 283.22$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.56 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 32c | 247.5$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Under | 31c | 225.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 32c | 214.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 338 | 44.7%151 W · 187 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 67c | 201.12$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 230 | 31.7%73 W · 157 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Over | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…208ebacked Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 69.7%23 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 31c | 140.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 381 | 42.8%163 W · 218 L | -22.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…3ef8backed Over | 55c | 110$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked Under | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea6…eaaebacked Over | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…9626backed Under | 33c | 93.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Over | 55c | 91.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 650 | 50.2%326 W · 324 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 198 | 56.6%112 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…c938backed Over | 61c | 75.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.22per pick | 70cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Over | 70c | 75$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…ba39backed Over | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 114 | 64.9%74 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Over | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Under | 31c | 56.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 39c | 51.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 31c | 49.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7af1…92cbbacked Over | 68c | 48.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccb7…0477backed Over | 66c | 48.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 31 | 83.9%26 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 28c | 46.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 424 | 38%161 W · 263 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…ba51backed Over | 70c | 45.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked Over | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Over | 69c | 41.08$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 66c | 39.28$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 31c | 35.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbecf…0f51backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f65…ec56backed Over | 70c | 27.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Over | 66c | 21.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c97…f237backed Over | 68c | 21.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.28 | 54 | 75.9%41 W · 13 L | +10.4wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +34%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4702…2211backed Over | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 2.5this page
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 0.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: FK Bodø/Glimt O/U 2.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: NEC O/U 0.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: NEC O/U 1.5Under won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: NEC O/U 2.5Under won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 0.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 1.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5Over won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5Under won
- NEC vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)NEC won
- Spread: NEC (-1.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
- Spread: NEC (-2.5)FK Bodø/Glimt won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.