Champions League · resolved market
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x519f91d3ce02b8a017dbc206987efb8a1e24d938b13f3981e24379a5ea5b3953
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Yes | 10c | 4,260$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 10c | 3,100$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.96 | 270 | 31.5%85 W · 185 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 11c | 1,644$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.84 | 915 | 37.6%344 W · 571 L | +30.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 1,458$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 886 | 31.7%281 W · 605 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,144$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…5375backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…4a87backed Yes | 10c | 233$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4e…cf0abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87d…ff4dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 0 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 0 - 3 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 0 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?Yes won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 0 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 3 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 0 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 1 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
- Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 3 Olympique Lyonnais?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.