Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4aa484fa6a0077ddf4b54be341e847249541d143a8ad343405b5c3203c1b1247
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FC Portoof FC Porto, FC Arouca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,593
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,593 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FC Arouca | 63c | 6,327$4,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,014.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed FC Porto | 36c | 3,619$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,320.34 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FC Porto | 51c | 2,832$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.64 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FC Arouca | 49c | 2,677$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.73 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed FC Porto | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed FC Arouca | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed FC Porto | 51c | 1,990$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.01 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FC Arouca | 45c | 1,876$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.76 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked FC Porto | 39c | 1,600$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.99 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed FC Porto | 53c | 1,409$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9c…b67dbacked FC Arouca | 49c | 1,176$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked FC Arouca | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed FC Porto | 58c | 999.88$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.95 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed FC Arouca | 2c | 987.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed FC Porto | 35c | 838.33$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.16 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked FC Porto | 39c | 769.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.05 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed FC Porto | 43c | 697.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.91 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed FC Arouca | 59c | 694.32$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.01 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed FC Porto | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked FC Porto | 53c | 298.08$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.1 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked FC Porto | 43c | 216.16$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…4f22backed FC Porto | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FC Arouca | 23c | 186.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.91 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked FC Porto | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked FC Porto | 44c | 163.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.45 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked FC Porto | 31c | 161.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed FC Arouca | 65c | 149.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36eb…a9fabacked FC Porto | 37c | 136.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked FC Arouca | 28c | 132.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed FC Arouca | 48c | 102.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 125 | 64%80 W · 45 L | +13.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked FC Arouca | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0962…6e40backed FC Porto | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed FC Arouca | 62c | 94.04$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.39 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ec…a9c4backed FC Porto | 70c | 92.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked FC Porto | 75c | 86.31$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 77 | 79.2%61 W · 16 L | +18.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked FC Porto | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.71 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed FC Porto | 54c | 85.26$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.35 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…415abacked FC Porto | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed FC Arouca | 61c | 76.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FC Arouca | 47c | 76.36$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FC Arouca | 37c | 76.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed FC Porto | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed FC Arouca | 64c | 75.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed FC Arouca | 67c | 71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.39 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed FC Arouca | 68c | 65.13$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked FC Porto | 52c | 64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FC Arouca | 64c | 62.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed FC Arouca | 49c | 58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d6…8704backed FC Porto | 54c | 51.85$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed FC Arouca | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 62cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…4715backed FC Arouca | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed FC Porto | 56c | 49.63$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed FC Arouca | 47c | 45.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed FC Porto | 28c | 42.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.7 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked FC Porto | 46c | 41.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.76 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed FC Porto | 50c | 41.44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99a…df76backed FC Porto | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…70ffbacked FC Porto | 54c | 33.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…167dbacked FC Porto | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FC Arouca | 65c | 23.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed FC Arouca | 68c | 22.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked FC Porto | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked FC Arouca | 66c | 21.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked FC Arouca | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +11.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1461…b97ebacked FC Arouca | 62c | 19.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed FC Arouca | 69c | 15.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)this page
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: FC Arouca O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: FC Porto O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)FC Arouca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.