Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf21ee044935b56975eb43134c76f5b4614050dc864030cbd8cf9af743de79d5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 18c | 6,316$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.04 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 26c | 5,442$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.6 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 4,940$2,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,208.59 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 4,004$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…1ef5backed Under | 16c | 3,344$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.57 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb98…b473backed Over | 75c | 3,000$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 43c | 2,528$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.24 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 47c | 2,441$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.46 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x145a…5e86backed Over | 37c | 2,430$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.96 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 18c | 2,222$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 50c | 1,960$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.15 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 18c | 1,743$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 38c | 1,497$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.79 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +139.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…3385backed Under | 32c | 1,492$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfec…4c6cbacked Under | 1c | 1,476$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Over | 59c | 1,228$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.89 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 37c | 1,108$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…f3c8backed Over | 52c | 1,053$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e97…8ffabacked Under | 16c | 1,005$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +574.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Over | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under | 50c | 965.3$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3d…5fcfbacked Under | 24c | 819.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2afc…317abacked Over | 43c | 814.07$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.07 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 41c | 711.36$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.98 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed Under | 23c | 680.52$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 45c | 667.11$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8220…b081backed Under | 45c | 666.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 15c | 625$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.65 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 74c | 600$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 51c | 588.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.24 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 15c | 549.96$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +57%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 19c | 537.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 16c | 482.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 50c | 466.05$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.05 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb76b…d1f0backed Under | 36c | 455.37$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.15 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +6.1wins | +0.32per pick | 31cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9618…77e6backed Under | 16c | 449.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.74 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 45c | 442.49$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…afcebacked Under | 19c | 408.79$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.51 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -45%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 63c | 355$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.61 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…eebebacked Over | 57c | 353.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.37 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 57c | 350.13$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.18 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…b821backed Under | 27c | 329.93$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 52c | 323.18$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 63c | 313.2$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 16c | 286.3$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47d9…54b7backed Under | 15c | 284.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 74c | 282.29$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.47 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…21b9backed Under | 47c | 260.6$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.48 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 17c | 256.17$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 19c | 256.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 251.92$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 75c | 233.72$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.53 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 63c | 222$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45bb…4927backed Over | 62c | 197.03$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 53c | 186.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.79 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under | 54c | 162.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Under | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Over | 55c | 154.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.55 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 53c | 140.86$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…ca9dbacked Over | 59c | 140.68$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 58c | 139.6$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.25 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 53c | 139.51$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.83 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 63c | 137.91$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.02 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…d8f0backed Under | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36eb…a9fabacked Over | 39c | 123.08$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 48c | 114.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Over | 62c | 112.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 61c | 110.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c3…3a41backed Under | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Over | 71c | 100.46$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 49c | 81.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 62c | 79.02$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 58c | 78.32$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e84…2e87backed Under | 18c | 71.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9306…bc66backed Under | 44c | 67.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x753d…2ce0backed Under | 45c | 64.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.37 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 37cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 51c | 61.39$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…f219backed Over | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Over | 58c | 52.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 60c | 51.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f79…0307backed Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6705…8184backed Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dfd5backed Over | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 61c | 49.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 43.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.76 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 50c | 42.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.91 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 44c | 40.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc91…6fd9backed Over | 76c | 39.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed Over | 54c | 37.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…e8b9backed Under | 49c | 37.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Under | 52c | 33.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 64c | 31.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 43c | 30.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -8.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 1.5this page
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: FC Arouca O/U 0.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: FC Porto O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 4.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)FC Porto won
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5)FC Arouca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.