TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,364,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,451,433

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,364,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 530 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers48c382,828$185,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185,210.191,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Spurs51c226,616$115,574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111,041.915154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed Spurs40c148,832$59,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89,415.4219754.3%107 W · 90 L+12.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Spurs52c144,709$75,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69,460.2210949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers58c112,988$65,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,601.9166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdfc…bf06backed Spurs56c94,673$53,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,443.581020%2 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-62.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xad2b…f091backed Trail Blazers39c73,860$29,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,038.322937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid-11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers49c70,722$34,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,653.782,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Trail Blazers49c49,459$24,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,23536549.6%181 W · 184 L-1.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Trail Blazers51c39,480$20,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,134.752240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers46c38,475$17,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,553.891,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Trail Blazers48c29,951$14,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,376.488038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs52c28,015$14,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,447.3842348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Trail Blazers60c26,397$15,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,778.291,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba9…f183backed Trail Blazers37c25,075$9,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,235.682227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers48c24,559$11,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,829.212,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Spurs51c24,386$12,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,949.2739842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Spurs61c20,910$12,849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,061.021,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Spurs52c18,618$9,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,969.821,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Spurs49c17,437$8,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,892.6229650.3%149 W · 147 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a3…b19abacked Spurs70c17,295$12,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,209.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Spurs52c16,767$8,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,047.9520843.8%91 W · 117 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92b5…fec6backed Spurs66c12,689$8,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,364.0110747.7%51 W · 56 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Trail Blazers38c12,500$4,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,75049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Spurs49c12,425$6,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,302.434,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers35c10,200$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,547.392,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Spurs49c9,873$4,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,035.011,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Trail Blazers10c8,916$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.091,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Spurs62c8,790$5,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,340.2626337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Trail Blazers52c8,151$4,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.636045%27 W · 33 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs49c7,716$3,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.8390650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers45c7,646$3,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,449.19,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Spurs63c7,484$4,712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,771.822,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spurs60c7,477$4,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,022.451,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Trail Blazers48c7,414$3,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,558.92,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Trail Blazers40c6,392$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55634255.6%190 W · 152 L+28.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+36%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Spurs50c6,030$3,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe802…e465backed Spurs57c5,912$3,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,544.815945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Spurs52c5,827$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,797.0632846.6%153 W · 175 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers48c5,189$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.931,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Trail Blazers48c5,063$2,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,418.5214842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Spurs48c4,931$2,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,567.2232351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed Spurs57c4,646$2,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,988.618752.9%46 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…76babacked Spurs52c4,323$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,074.821353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2a…9c0abacked Trail Blazers39c4,274$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.68825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-41.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Spurs49c4,201$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,124.6457950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Spurs49c3,957$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.9311249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Spurs49c3,957$1,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,017.935561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x901f…74e9backed Spurs51c3,900$1,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,910.9710046%46 W · 54 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3e5…697abacked Spurs52c3,885$2,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,864.720650%103 W · 103 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Spurs51c3,530$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.72,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2734…6d9ebacked Trail Blazers49c3,472$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,701.36144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Spurs52c3,302$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,58537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers50c3,299$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.961,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49d…ff91backed Spurs52c3,266$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,567.475655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Trail Blazers60c3,253$1,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9523531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Trail Blazers48c3,250$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,560.131,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers51c3,203$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,639.5646145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Spurs51c2,950$1,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,445.4689853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08fe…aedfbacked Spurs52c2,922$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,402.638447.6%40 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Spurs53c2,818$1,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,324.5611153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Spurs52c2,802$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,344.9438453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39eb…0e4cbacked Spurs53c2,750$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.682152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Spurs53c2,750$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,292.6820945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Trail Blazers38c2,632$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00064944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xceb1…bd4fbacked Trail Blazers2c2,625$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f7b…440fbacked Trail Blazers2c2,625$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45190%0 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Trail Blazers53c2,616$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.641,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…3d96backed Spurs51c2,600$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.914841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Trail Blazers48c2,551$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,224.562347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc661…610abacked Spurs60c2,400$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9601921.1%4 W · 15 L-5.1wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-55.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Spurs50c2,351$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.6452951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Spurs51c2,300$1,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12727246.7%127 W · 145 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f85…7e17backed Spurs53c2,200$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.146656.1%37 W · 29 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+85.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Trail Blazers2c2,150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36420%0 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed Trail Blazers2c2,150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36981%1 W · 97 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Spurs52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Spurs51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Spurs51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9805352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Trail Blazers51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0201,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x308d…3519backed Spurs74c1,995$1,477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.814173.2%30 W · 11 L+7.3wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+33.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers41c1,989$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.213,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb895…e4afbacked Trail Blazers49c1,939$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.014445.5%20 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7fd…89debacked Spurs49c1,939$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.792941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cc…0b39backed Trail Blazers51c1,840$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.583953.8%21 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed Spurs53c1,834$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.787448.6%36 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Spurs58c1,742$1,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722.8928852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Spurs40c1,702$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.466238.7%24 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b8…b4d4backed Spurs59c1,662$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.575054%27 W · 23 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Spurs52c1,644$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$788.9111440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d0…5a98backed Spurs52c1,619$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7774257.1%24 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdea…6951backed Spurs52c1,606$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.9820434.8%71 W · 133 L+0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Spurs61c1,397$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.288,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Spurs52c1,360$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652.656266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Trail Blazers40c1,308$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.482,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Spurs61c1,275$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.6145445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Spurs52c1,273$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.939447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers45c1,259$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.763,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed Trail Blazers49c1,231$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.626051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Trail Blazers40c1,206$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.45545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.