TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,847

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,390 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x78bf…6df9backed Spurs55c1,323$729 inWon+$593.996261.3%38 W · 24 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers45c697.28$312 inLost-$312.315,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3048…057fbacked Spurs56c644.37$360 inWon+$284.1611850.8%60 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers41c594.47$246 inLost-$246.312,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Spurs55c443.98$243 inWon+$200.7636248.1%174 W · 188 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8274…aaa7backed Spurs58c420.17$244 inWon+$176.47560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers44c360$158 inLost-$158.41,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Trail Blazers52c358.95$186 inLost-$185.6820552.2%107 W · 98 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers44c296.64$131 inLost-$130.811,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2996…73debacked Spurs57c262.84$150 inWon+$112.813744.5%61 W · 76 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Trail Blazers44c181.12$80 inLost-$79.698038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Trail Blazers47c159.85$74 inLost-$74.4387049.3%429 W · 441 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea5…3452backed Spurs61c141.16$86 inWon+$55.051060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Trail Blazers47c122.2$57 inLost-$57.4313047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Spurs56c104.45$58 inWon+$45.9620146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd2…4c45backed Spurs56c86.49$48 inWon+$38.064027.5%11 W · 29 L-4.3wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Trail Blazers46c75$35 inLost-$34.536749.6%182 W · 185 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b62…1253backed Spurs53c46.65$25 inWon+$21.9220756%116 W · 91 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf2…8bf0backed Trail Blazers46c40.32$19 inLost-$18.655947.5%28 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17e7…f1ecbacked Spurs59c33.06$20 inWon+$13.562733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Spurs59c27.66$16 inWon+$11.349334.4%32 W · 61 L-11.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Spurs52c20$10 inWon+$9.696956.3%546 W · 423 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.