TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,115
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,319

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,115 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 242 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf658…655ebacked Over57c12,379$7,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,07414556.6%82 W · 63 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c11,430$5,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,714.851,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under44c7,320$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,128.89,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Over57c4,821$2,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,723.9714046.4%65 W · 75 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c4,401$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.841,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Over50c4,037$2,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.3219443.3%84 W · 110 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over20c3,058$614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.738,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Over50c3,032$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.117553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under43c3,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,710.021,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over50c2,831$1,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.7232351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under58c2,583$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.641,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over54c2,188$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.5218844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under47c2,000$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.9269149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59bb…5fb9backed Over62c1,787$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under46c1,518$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.552,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12a0…3c0ebacked Under68c1,444$981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.3715853.8%85 W · 73 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over51c1,353$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.9731046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda3a…d4b3backed Over39c1,238$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.632356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Over31c1,214$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.854257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under60c1,194$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$482.2411864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under60c1,077$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.6195651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under42c1,072$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.582,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under73c1,027$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.5665872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over58c902.71$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.4310254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over57c838.25$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Under48c803.23$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.6518748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under61c790.15$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.4758951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under49c775.52$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.5216550.9%84 W · 81 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under43c750.13$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.571,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Under49c688.37$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.0714049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2de8…1121backed Over57c683.39$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.0390957.6%524 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over57c589.65$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.18540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over51c571.56$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0214052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Under45c561.92$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.4411437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed Under48c499.96$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.522445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over41c465.55$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.5115543.2%67 W · 88 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d0a…07c7backed Over55c440.51$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.153256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under42c429.45$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.042,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under62c414.26$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.671,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over60c400$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8345…5cadbacked Over51c390.23$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.021040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over50c388$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Over54c362.56$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4429554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Under52c311.22$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.8719135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ed…33bebacked Over40c308.68$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.913455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Under50c308.46$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2320040%80 W · 120 L-15.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4523…7adebacked Under50c308.46$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.233342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Under49c308.27$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.2216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under43c303.94$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.212,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under48c300.44$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.0914145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2366…580fbacked Under54c300$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13811347.8%54 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over50c296.49$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.041,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over51c291.18$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.521653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over33c290.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9818850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under49c247.2$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.0710750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6888…4c79backed Under49c247.2$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.077350.7%37 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51d7…b138backed Over25c242.62$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.732060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under48c233.97$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Over15c223.86$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.097316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over55c220.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b2b…e5e7backed Over55c211.94$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.776347.6%30 W · 33 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4642…21d3backed Over23c207.35$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.6913555.6%75 W · 60 L+11.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x51a3…9c26backed Over47c207$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.812470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under48c204.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.322351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under48c200.71$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.829652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ca2…3741backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.32per pick61cpaid-55.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8884…3457backed Over55c197.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.8112857.8%74 W · 54 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f98…ec35backed Over52c186.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1210046%46 W · 54 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab0…6364backed Over54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.241353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2469049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over55c176.91$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.359650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3662652.2%327 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6528…2dcebacked Under44c173.57$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.737766.2%51 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over36c171.29$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4962047.3%293 W · 327 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under44c170.93$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.011,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3a3…3411backed Under62c167.26$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47a…68e6backed Under49c155.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.16848.5%33 W · 35 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ca…3b08backed Under49c155.1$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.13545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over52c154.26$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.141,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d9…c125backed Under48c151.38$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7220247.5%96 W · 106 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8642…c576backed Over32c151.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.952138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbced…5808backed Under48c150.57$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.314753.1%78 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7811354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over51c139.64$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2231953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under53c137.11$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.0168838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.249558.9%56 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Over18c127.81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.954447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Over50c127.24$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.922564%16 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under60c126.82$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3221653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over38c126.34$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.886250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over55c125.51$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0393145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…ced8backed Over37c124.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.25520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Over33c124.44$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.552259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa415…6fb9backed Under50c124.16$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0826147.1%123 W · 138 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over50c121.64$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.973,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over57c121.6$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.319854.1%53 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c119.92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.2789850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over38c118.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.761,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.