NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdee0b8813a631cca3bb4f2b4a58fe23d05d7dc0bce011b1387160d82a2c787dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $494,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $570,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Over | 52c | 124,896$64,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,945.72 | 205 | 45.9%94 W · 111 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 100,242$51,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,120.91 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe934…640bbacked Under | 49c | 94,473$46,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,181.13 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Under | 48c | 50,333$24,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,173.3 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 48c | 50,143$24,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,074.61 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 49c | 32,311$15,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,478.77 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 51c | 21,970$11,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,204.63 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under | 48c | 20,183$9,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,495.33 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Under | 49c | 15,123$7,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,706.9 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed Over | 51c | 14,630$7,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,461.43 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 13,969$7,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,247.44 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Under | 49c | 9,892$4,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,044.84 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x938f…a768backed Over | 53c | 9,718$5,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.54 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 49c | 8,165$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.09 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Under | 48c | 7,754$3,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,061.62 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 51c | 6,661$3,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,397.1 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…3411backed Under | 64c | 6,626$4,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,390.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 5,557$2,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,819.08 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Under | 48c | 5,328$2,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.77 | 230 | 47%108 W · 122 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over | 52c | 5,021$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,606.99 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Over | 51c | 4,558$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.27 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Under | 48c | 3,118$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.9 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +15.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 2,910$1,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,427.03 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 35c | 2,829$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.44 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 48c | 2,511$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.47 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Over | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 2,452$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.1 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under | 53c | 2,422$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.14 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 38c | 2,361$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.19 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.64 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.99 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…4ddbbacked Over | 50c | 1,998$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Under | 47c | 1,994$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.26 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 39c | 1,956$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.5 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 1,907$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.72 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 48c | 1,742$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.67 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0daa…c9dabacked Over | 54c | 1,697$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 51c | 1,521$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.68 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 47c | 1,489$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.15 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Under | 52c | 1,442$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.21 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 53c | 1,405$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.4 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Under | 48c | 1,358$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.29 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…dac0backed Over | 51c | 1,202$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.82 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57f9…bcd9backed Under | 61c | 1,195$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.11 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 61c | 1,171$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.63 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 65c | 1,162$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.3 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 32c | 1,100$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 51c | 1,076$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.37 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Under | 66c | 1,030$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.51 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe757…c161backed Under | 48c | 1,017$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.71 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb307…be4abacked Under | 48c | 1,009$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.77 | 188 | 42.6%80 W · 108 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa132…eebdbacked Over | 48c | 1,000$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 51c | 999.93$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…043fbacked Under | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 48c | 987.09$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.28 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 63c | 981.82$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.11 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Under | 50c | 970$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 48c | 964.92$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.16 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 53c | 937.42$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.83 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 51c | 921.36$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.91 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108b…ecdabacked Under | 48c | 881.67$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.47 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 50c | 814.02$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.01 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Over | 52c | 794.2$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.09 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…728abacked Under | 52c | 770$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.6 | 115 | 56.5%65 W · 50 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 39c | 768.87$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.86 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Over | 52c | 747.08$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.48 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 50c | 732$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.75 | 348 | 50.9%177 W · 171 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 49c | 718.84$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.61 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Under | 79c | 702.79$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.98 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 45c | 633.64$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.5 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78d…7279backed Over | 52c | 606.07$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.16 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.0wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed Over | 48c | 605.5$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.64 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…0560backed Under | 52c | 599.97$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 52c | 598.73$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.42 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf58c…0b79backed Under | 61c | 581.5$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…4752backed Over | 32c | 570.84$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x047c…3ce4backed Over | 53c | 550.08$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…e77abacked Over | 51c | 547.42$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.18 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Under | 49c | 510.44$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.32 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 53c | 485.9$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.53 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Over | 51c | 485.3$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcf…7e4cbacked Under | 52c | 399.99$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Under | 52c | 389.31$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.87 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 51c | 388.24$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 50c | 387.88$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.88 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3f…0513backed Over | 42c | 376.33$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3e…7857backed Over | 52c | 373.54$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Under | 55c | 370.26$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.29 | 191 | 35.6%68 W · 123 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Under | 53c | 366.72$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.36 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 52c | 327.34$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.97 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c17…3844backed Over | 51c | 316.47$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.25 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 258 | 46.9%121 W · 137 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb051…b740backed Under | 46c | 299.95$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eca…87dabacked Under | 60c | 289.58$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…d4b3backed Over | 51c | 285.47$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.59 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 52c | 283.57$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 509 | 54.8%279 W · 230 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.