NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H Moneyline
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9af3ff2fa85d49e8f0f355e83083129f09d4f4db6268b1a30f57cfac6e840e08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Trail Blazers, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,076
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Trail Blazers | 25c | 1,061$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.4 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Spurs | 77c | 999.88$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.97 | 663 | 52.6%349 W · 314 L | +30.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…e4afbacked Trail Blazers | 24c | 954.4$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.06 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 953.69$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.35 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 76c | 855$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1263…fddcbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 829.39$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.76 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Spurs | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffd…924fbacked Spurs | 76c | 773.67$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.14 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Spurs | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 473 | 59.2%280 W · 193 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spurs | 77c | 397.34$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac25…433fbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 386.26$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.84 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 366.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 318.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…aa35backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 261.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5871…0defbacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 231.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.28 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Spurs | 78c | 227.76$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 228 | 44.7%102 W · 126 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Spurs | 77c | 217.73$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.08 | 931 | 45.8%426 W · 505 L | -25.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26e2…1a63backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 207.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 149 | 24.8%37 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…d4b3backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 191$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed Spurs | 78c | 189.77$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 180.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 285 | 36.8%105 W · 180 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 144.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 1,264 | 45.8%579 W · 685 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 142.31$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Spurs | 77c | 128.51$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…9f33backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 126.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | -8.2wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 88.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…26e5backed Spurs | 78c | 86.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7395…fdeebacked Spurs | 77c | 85.3$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Spurs | 78c | 76.86$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…b389backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 71.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 279 | 42.7%119 W · 160 L | -14.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…1253backed Spurs | 77c | 69.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 57.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Spurs | 76c | 51.09$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.17 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Spurs | 76c | 27.92$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 326 | 54.6%178 W · 148 L | +22.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86f9…111ebacked Spurs | 77c | 26.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Spurs | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H Moneylinethis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-6.5)Spurs won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Devin Vassell: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Assists O/U 1.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Assists O/U 0.5Yes won
- Scoot Henderson: Points O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Spurs (-10.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-11.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-12.5)Spurs won
- Stephon Castle: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Trail Blazers vs. SpursSpurs won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 114.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5Under won
- Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 28.5Yes won
- Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.