TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-12.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$116,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$117,127

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,647 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Trail Blazers46c13,722$6,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,246.571,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Spurs54c10,655$5,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,906.1911864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Spurs63c10,101$6,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,750.831,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Spurs53c7,252$3,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,401.372,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Trail Blazers39c6,084$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.596240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Trail Blazers52c5,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,599.9648845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Spurs48c4,975$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,587.0143148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Trail Blazers52c4,669$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42810553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bdd…1378backed Spurs72c4,070$2,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.021060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Trail Blazers53c3,673$1,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,946.911558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Spurs48c3,536$1,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.7863746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Spurs54c3,413$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,566.41,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers38c3,345$1,268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,268.481,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Trail Blazers52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,559.9982442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Spurs47c2,992$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.81,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Trail Blazers52c2,690$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,398.7766248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers48c2,348$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.431,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Trail Blazers52c2,318$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.2714842.6%63 W · 85 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Trail Blazers51c2,284$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.723531.4%11 W · 24 L-6.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Trail Blazers36c1,957$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.1819135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Trail Blazers1c1,945$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.457316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a91…e0aebacked Spurs48c1,921$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.771957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs48c1,753$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.3490650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Trail Blazers13c1,742$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5220837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Trail Blazers52c1,667$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.8464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Trail Blazers45c1,451$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.7346145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Spurs48c1,417$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.6632347.1%152 W · 171 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Spurs49c1,349$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.7413644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Trail Blazers50c1,200$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.46850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dd9…bfe8backed Spurs62c1,199$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.8465762.3%409 W · 248 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Spurs46c1,073$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.4361638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Spurs48c1,066$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.1517551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Trail Blazers47c1,034$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.042347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers52c1,025$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.874,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d1…aa33backed Trail Blazers44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4406541.5%27 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c8c…c7b4backed Spurs50c997.16$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.5835650%178 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Trail Blazers45c842.1$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.657726%20 W · 57 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Trail Blazers43c808.37$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.617042.4%72 W · 98 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Trail Blazers61c802.91$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.243342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7851…d471backed Trail Blazers52c776.96$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.028148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spurs53c746.63$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.181,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0a…e29dbacked Trail Blazers53c721.95$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers46c688.42$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59aa…3376backed Trail Blazers53c684.38$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.9319554.9%107 W · 88 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x592d…0af1backed Trail Blazers45c644.67$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Spurs48c634.56$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.975728.1%16 W · 41 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fff…3a96backed Spurs58c595.32$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.621163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs60c487.03$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7652461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea5…3452backed Spurs59c476.11$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.211060%6 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4879…86c0backed Trail Blazers44c468.08$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.899246.7%43 W · 49 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Trail Blazers52c459.39$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.885545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98cb…aa35backed Spurs54c447.28$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.272445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2569…5d2dbacked Trail Blazers45c429.78$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Trail Blazers47c412$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.6416959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Spurs48c403.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Trail Blazers33c383.92$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6928929.4%85 W · 204 L-13.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xda3a…d4b3backed Spurs51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.512356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Trail Blazers9c376.05$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0814438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Trail Blazers52c361.37$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4347357.9%274 W · 199 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad8f…6b52backed Trail Blazers53c333.93$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.983767.6%25 W · 12 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Trail Blazers54c329.73$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.953737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6512…5291backed Spurs47c294.1$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.869550.5%48 W · 47 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed Spurs63c282.41$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.046051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59c…4da7backed Trail Blazers33c282.12$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.11346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Trail Blazers50c273.87$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.495453.7%29 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c72…78edbacked Trail Blazers41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004346.5%20 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Trail Blazers14c239.2$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1778639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Spurs48c238.14$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.8331953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf19b…1613backed Spurs58c235.3$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.826060%36 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Spurs49c233.9$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.299451.1%48 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c04…7011backed Spurs58c232.28$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.341947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffdc…ce87backed Spurs70c218.94$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.684757.4%27 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3ee…31aebacked Trail Blazers48c214.81$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.131770.6%12 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+22.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Spurs49c213.56$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers51c212.1$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.191,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Spurs47c210.16$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3839842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Spurs48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9529848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6abc…bd1bbacked Spurs48c201.83$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9514549%71 W · 74 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Trail Blazers32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646637.9%25 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e41…5932backed Spurs51c194.12$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.094751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Trail Blazers52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10065045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Trail Blazers51c191.24$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.047946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Spurs52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6547134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc94e…fe53backed Trail Blazers53c183.36$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.183873.7%28 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8642…c576backed Spurs56c174.7$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.352138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Spurs58c164.71$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.183461.8%21 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Trail Blazers54c142.12$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.838048.8%39 W · 41 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Spurs57c140.8$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.5457444.1%253 W · 321 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Trail Blazers44c126.49$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.655352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Spurs48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4844347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Spurs48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.484551.1%23 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+28.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Spurs48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4812458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Spurs48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4811653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x366f…ce3cbacked Spurs48c100.92$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Spurs51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4917748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Spurs52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.539548.4%191 W · 204 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4dc…0e2ebacked Spurs56c99.56$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.124134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7291…3d0fbacked Spurs48c98.86$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.417945.6%36 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Spurs51c98.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.437339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Trail Blazers45c98.8$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.512,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.