TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$179,981
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$221,557

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,981 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd38a…8d26backed Under52c33,331$17,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,998.935253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over50c31,955$15,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,886.241,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c24,273$12,137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,135.839,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c13,572$6,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,522.291,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Over49c12,477$6,114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,113.6116846.4%78 W · 90 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over50c12,377$6,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,213.3790650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over51c7,991$4,046 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,046.2632351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under51c6,500$3,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,20537842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under50c6,319$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,156.9237355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over48c5,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40021653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Under50c4,502$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250.872450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c3,599$1,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.332,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under50c2,500$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25011864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Over48c2,018$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.812542.4%53 W · 72 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.9861747.8%295 W · 322 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c85…94a4backed Over51c1,989$1,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.583345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Over49c1,980$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$970.4718444.6%82 W · 102 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Under51c1,903$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.5420945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under58c1,772$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.844257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under50c1,768$884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.113,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under51c1,167$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.061,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa273…095bbacked Under51c1,142$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.63862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.991,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4858851.1%45 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x623b…8facbacked Under50c970$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4852347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under49c861.27$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.251,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over49c814.99$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3511242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c750.1$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.551,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over23c746.31$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.231,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under51c696.39$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ccc…64c5backed Under58c688.92$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.292759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x968f…5129backed Over50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2911030%3 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c573.88$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.21,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under51c571.86$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f5…c161backed Under51c570.94$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7611440.4%46 W · 68 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Over20c548.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9514438.9%56 W · 88 L+32.5wins+0.23per pick16cpaid+228.3%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over49c545.87$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.821,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb5d…d917backed Under79c503.67$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1031222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under49c495.55$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.227150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24e4…0478backed Over50c481.28$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.648850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Under61c480.3$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3213342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under51c479.55$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.831,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Over8c473.2$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3578639.2%308 W · 478 L+27.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Under62c455.06$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.921,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under51c447.15$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1320647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over51c444.48$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.6832450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over49c395.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.8837647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbde…a758backed Under49c359.96$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.582254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over7c358$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.2480440.3%324 W · 480 L+27.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb628…fd2bbacked Under80c352.62$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.111873.7%87 W · 31 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Under52c349.54$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.7882442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under72c332.16$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0165872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under50c331.11$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.671,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under51c312.41$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.0856646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Over32c307.24$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.221323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over49c295.55$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.822,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.58541.2%35 W · 50 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…e0c1backed Over50c291$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.53542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd69d…fe68backed Over15c277.95$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.167316.4%12 W · 61 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+1,317.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under52c268.58$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.9816153.4%86 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Over39c261.07$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.251,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…18c6backed Under53c260.47$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.032268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under51c249.34$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.181,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb74…2a6bbacked Under69c246.88$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5961…56dbbacked Over53c230.49$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4937848.9%185 W · 193 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d3…2c20backed Over51c228.38$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.4733251.2%170 W · 162 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Under66c223.01$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.612259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4d…4c76backed Under51c220.7$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.918057.5%46 W · 34 L+7.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+20.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Under51c212.62$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2231953%169 W · 150 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0513backed Under56c203.75$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.162347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20f3…2c21backed Under51c201.67$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.822070%14 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+28.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over49c197.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9461151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd57d…590ebacked Under71c194.38$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6613560%81 W · 54 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x59b1…8396backed Under50c194$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$971553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over50c193.84$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9727745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd62d…5992backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0637852.9%200 W · 178 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Over16c186.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6660049.8%299 W · 301 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over40c173.38$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3515844.9%71 W · 87 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Over51c163.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2821354%115 W · 98 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd47f…169bbacked Under72c136.56$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.244854.2%26 W · 22 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-24.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xce5c…41f3backed Under53c136.49$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.152454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b2c…dac5backed Under51c126.18$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8342348.5%205 W · 218 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under53c124.39$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4634850.9%177 W · 171 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5760…40aabacked Over51c124.27$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.389651%49 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over40c120.5$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.245445.4%206 W · 248 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Over24c119$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6345542.4%193 W · 262 L-0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under51c117.14$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.414052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1cc…28a0backed Under50c115.42$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.229665.5%194 W · 102 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6733…acb9backed Over50c111.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.277856.4%44 W · 34 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+25.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Under46c106.91$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.796963.8%44 W · 25 L+9.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x581a…8e5fbacked Over48c103.99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd1c…44fbbacked Under63c103.12$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed Under71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297339.7%29 W · 44 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Under71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2917748%85 W · 92 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdcdd…6d55backed Over51c99.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.623650.8%120 W · 116 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aae…16e6backed Under51c98.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.4912458.9%73 W · 51 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4744347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd80…5ef4backed Over49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4711653.4%62 W · 54 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.