TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$188,947
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$191,614

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $188,947 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0c15…9a45backed Over51c73,131$37,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,382.6111137.8%42 W · 69 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde45…b614backed Under49c16,126$7,837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,289.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under49c13,871$6,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,074.397852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Under49c7,023$3,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,581.8321943.4%95 W · 124 L-12.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c6,232$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.6338946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c5,519$2,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,885.021,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over33c4,084$1,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,338.622,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c3,057$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.931,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Under50c2,791$1,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Under49c2,675$1,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.012,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x708a…a0d8backed Under48c2,482$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,290.644535.6%16 W · 29 L-6.1wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Under48c2,446$1,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,272.0312850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Under49c2,372$1,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.7518343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ff…6754backed Over49c2,294$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,124.051346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under46c2,286$1,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.661,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Under49c1,980$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,010.052259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c1,960$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.214940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x77e8…6854backed Under49c1,899$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.615635.7%20 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over54c1,720$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.816,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over38c1,675$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.382,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under64c1,580$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.911,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Under49c1,424$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.4632150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa2e9…a86ebacked Over56c1,391$775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$775.4310254.9%56 W · 46 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under58c1,170$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.533,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under49c1,166$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.7616946.7%79 W · 90 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Under49c1,098$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.1537355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over54c1,089$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.1121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under49c1,056$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.419745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under63c1,022$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.7895651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over49c1,001$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7184342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52044252.3%231 W · 211 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c998.41$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.1980737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over52c989.7$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.642,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under49c989.18$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.4823251.7%120 W · 112 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over50c969.81$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.866839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c930.85$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.664,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over24c912.58$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.328,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over54c901.88$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.1712341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under67c900$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29759650.3%300 W · 296 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c896.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4731222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over33c882.85$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3418536.8%68 W · 117 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb29a…bbdebacked Over37c857.62$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.261323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Over37c843.26$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.951225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under46c765.66$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.0917250.6%87 W · 85 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c742.88$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.431,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c729.47$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.444,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over54c727.36$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.7717052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under46c701.68$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.911,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over58c667.19$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.0316159.6%96 W · 65 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ee…b517backed Over51c642.96$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.917441.9%31 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Over54c584.94$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.2589444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Over54c563.99$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.5632151.7%166 W · 155 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under70c546.56$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.496450%32 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over30c546.34$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.381,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Under49c514.38$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.332236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c506.14$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.8462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2507153.5%38 W · 33 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under64c489.2$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.1111864.4%76 W · 42 L+15.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Under49c474$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.744045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over35c464.29$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over51c437.17$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.966448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c434.74$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.721,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under66c427.32$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1445445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c427.08$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.981,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under44c412.87$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2137647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…bc2fbacked Under47c412$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.363941%16 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under47c401.12$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.61,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under47c401.12$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x399d…415cbacked Over45c395.53$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.972259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadbb…2a6ebacked Under51c393.53$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a4f…7e6dbacked Over52c387.88$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d7e…faafbacked Over53c385.05$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa10f…8604backed Under48c383.48$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd90f…b6dabacked Under49c363.66$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.293551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Over54c360.98$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.4638432.6%125 W · 259 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76e4…febcbacked Over54c358.75$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.513348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under47c353.53$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3763746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over19c343.35$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.191,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7179…ced8backed Over37c332.62$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.77520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-61.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under46c316.5$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.9131046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Over18c316.48$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.599641.7%40 W · 56 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…8f79backed Under48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.51,39348.3%673 W · 720 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under66c311.18$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.831345.7%143 W · 170 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3f…0513backed Over43c310.78$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.172347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed Under66c307.13$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.5836051.7%186 W · 174 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Under49c300.51$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.2619348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10821653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3105…2e7ebacked Over53c292.81$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.192948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under49c292.08$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9614052.1%73 W · 67 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d7…b138backed Under62c289.18$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.132060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over18c278.77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1852230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Over15c277.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6913342.9%57 W · 76 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over35c247.75$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.923,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e00…ba80backed Under48c242.2$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.944763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf4e4…4a19backed Over57c211.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.444470.5%31 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under47c207.48$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.791,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under46c207.38$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3261151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over33c207$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.559255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c69…e671backed Over33c206.26$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.556051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over53c205$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.2619135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.