TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$694,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$795,839

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 426 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3625…1187backed Spurs57c223,627$126,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97,010.837243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers43c126,269$54,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54,309.061,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Trail Blazers43c124,189$53,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,643.11,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked Trail Blazers44c99,603$43,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,851.288038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Spurs57c85,217$48,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,501.942348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163e…dc5bbacked Spurs56c38,944$21,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,135.3620758%120 W · 87 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Trail Blazers43c25,834$11,109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,108.5929245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers43c24,585$10,653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,653.259,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Spurs57c20,792$11,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,919.8420352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Spurs51c16,559$8,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,064.361,02450.8%520 W · 504 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs57c13,004$7,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,650.2585742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Spurs58c12,610$7,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,296.0622036.8%81 W · 139 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Trail Blazers43c11,613$4,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,993.7528643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Trail Blazers49c11,307$5,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,540.471,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b66…02edbacked Spurs71c11,159$7,946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,213.212878.6%22 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Trail Blazers45c8,003$3,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,631.71,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf11…8399backed Spurs66c6,222$4,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,115.6137539.5%148 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Spurs56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2005352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers28c4,372$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.362,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x031a…50b7backed Spurs57c4,306$2,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.839357%53 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdfb…980cbacked Spurs57c4,250$2,423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,827.646259.7%37 W · 25 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6076…f8fdbacked Trail Blazers48c4,037$1,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,937.620346.3%94 W · 109 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Trail Blazers44c4,033$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,791.681,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers49c3,899$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,901.798,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Trail Blazers44c3,750$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,650.061,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spurs56c3,601$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,591.41,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Trail Blazers48c3,417$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.1312850%64 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Spurs58c3,377$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.4143269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers42c3,295$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.182,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Trail Blazers33c3,083$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.356646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Trail Blazers31c2,855$887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$886.651,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Spurs57c2,313$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.336647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Spurs51c2,293$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.088333.7%28 W · 55 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Trail Blazers37c2,261$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.461,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Trail Blazers49c2,040$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.1672241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Spurs50c2,032$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0162548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Spurs50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00076249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Trail Blazers43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86025641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Spurs71c1,980$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.068953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Trail Blazers44c1,968$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.5765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Spurs57c1,902$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.7690650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdf7…bf20backed Spurs55c1,894$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.14955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Trail Blazers28c1,888$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.523,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Spurs57c1,849$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.1832351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers43c1,685$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.215,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers43c1,640$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.121,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac03…5350backed Trail Blazers44c1,600$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.673447.1%16 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Trail Blazers38c1,532$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.5819135.6%68 W · 123 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Trail Blazers5c1,501$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0720837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x799c…bcefbacked Trail Blazers55c1,501$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.6427163.5%172 W · 99 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Trail Blazers48c1,486$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.0244740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Spurs56c1,391$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.9840451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Spurs54c1,351$729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.2615252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe903…6adbbacked Spurs53c1,350$715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.497156.3%40 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Trail Blazers56c1,312$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.0317553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2123…8d70backed Spurs57c1,266$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.5817551.4%90 W · 85 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Trail Blazers32c1,164$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.151,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Trail Blazers34c1,100$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37411639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e97…b97fbacked Trail Blazers35c1,060$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Trail Blazers42c1,054$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.523,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Spurs50c1,049$524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.271,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1489…9924backed Trail Blazers49c1,028$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.7219348.2%93 W · 100 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers42c1,027$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.345,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Spurs50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Trail Blazers42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4202,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Spurs54c972.4$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.373649.9%367 W · 369 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Spurs53c971.8$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.7544345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Trail Blazers47c926.72$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.71,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68fe…8792backed Spurs54c907.37$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.31942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Trail Blazers50c873$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.518748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3605…1ae1backed Spurs52c872.21$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414.5623043%99 W · 131 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Spurs56c869.29$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.499455.3%52 W · 42 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a5b…a4d9backed Spurs57c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.466358.7%37 W · 26 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb70d…5925backed Trail Blazers45c818.5$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2917643.2%76 W · 100 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Spurs57c791.46$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.3312646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Spurs64c747.66$478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.1452461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Trail Blazers49c741.68$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.4214049.3%69 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers45c713.85$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.064,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb86d…3c53backed Spurs57c685.56$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.7947134.2%161 W · 310 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-16.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e6f…8c21backed Spurs57c683.65$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.971369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+34.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Trail Blazers43c653.1$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.11,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers46c639.13$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2941,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8274…aaa7backed Spurs65c602.46$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.86560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Spurs57c598.19$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.2211743.6%51 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Trail Blazers49c595.21$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.6571449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Spurs54c592.87$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.142941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Trail Blazers37c585.03$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.982,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc3a…0ec0backed Trail Blazers50c584.37$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.18333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Spurs57c582.23$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.3622349.8%111 W · 112 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83c5…c3ffbacked Trail Blazers50c582$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.35per pick50cpaid+70.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1e8c…4b07backed Trail Blazers50c572.3$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.15250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Spurs52c562.08$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7536751.5%189 W · 178 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8359…df37backed Spurs51c561.43$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Spurs52c560.31$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.951,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda3a…d4b3backed Spurs79c560.17$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.922356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers44c559.89$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.854,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x586d…c5dcbacked Trail Blazers47c550.21$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.67248.6%35 W · 37 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Trail Blazers49c549.99$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.556043.9%246 W · 314 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbffd…d0b5backed Spurs54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5303…83e6backed Spurs54c540.22$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.56647%31 W · 35 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.