TailMyPicks
Market

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SaD Esportsof SaD Esports, NRG Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$333,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$283,809

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $333,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 177 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed SaD Esports42c84,640$35,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,042.1252455.2%289 W · 235 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde24…e804backed NRG Academy7c24,195$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.731040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65c1…2988backed NRG Academy47c15,117$7,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,104.925855.4%143 W · 115 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8660…93edbacked SaD Esports50c14,409$7,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,234.1518148.1%87 W · 94 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked SaD Esports2c9,691$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,497.1219046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked NRG Academy52c4,231$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2004040%16 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed SaD Esports49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04039142.5%166 W · 225 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed SaD Esports50c3,282$1,636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,646.56746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG Academy51c2,681$1,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,364.081,25349.5%620 W · 633 L-3.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG Academy58c2,347$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,368.721,28132.1%411 W · 870 L-67.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked NRG Academy55c2,145$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.011,36538.9%531 W · 834 L-60.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked NRG Academy62c2,060$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.3628541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e9…67ffbacked NRG Academy49c2,051$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.996546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…ff78backed SaD Esports14c2,044$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,751.71366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+185.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG Academy52c1,923$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.351,60737.5%603 W · 1,004 L-75.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed NRG Academy32c1,874$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.681315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick33cpaid-57.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed NRG Academy48c1,800$864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86433348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c8…84a6backed SaD Esports55c1,709$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.5723151.9%120 W · 111 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b4c…1715backed NRG Academy4c1,625$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605831%18 W · 40 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed NRG Academy55c1,541$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.291346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x324c…93d9backed NRG Academy1c1,500$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15790%0 W · 79 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87a3…5857backed NRG Academy49c1,305$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.025451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked NRG Academy77c1,287$989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.771850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked NRG Academy56c1,250$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7051957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed SaD Esports28c1,249$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.691546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked NRG Academy34c1,200$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.136648.4%177 W · 189 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed SaD Esports45c1,187$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f5…1d29backed SaD Esports16c1,155$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.221154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed NRG Academy60c1,090$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.3637545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2897…b9d8backed NRG Academy55c1,054$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.072347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick60cpaid-25.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked NRG Academy45c1,042$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.778344.1%345 W · 438 L-21.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a05…cd14backed NRG Academy1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick2cpaid-44.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked NRG Academy1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10701.4%1 W · 69 L0.0wins0.00per pick1cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked SaD Esports58c997.47$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.141,31243.8%575 W · 737 L-44.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked SaD Esports35c973.62$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.631,42251.3%729 W · 693 L+49.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33ad…a123backed SaD Esports20c955.77$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.771533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid+20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed NRG Academy29c944.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.117533.3%25 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-25.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked NRG Academy54c913.76$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.4224032.1%77 W · 163 L-18.7wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked SaD Esports9c875.56$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.4314534.5%50 W · 95 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca4…db18backed NRG Academy43c842.43$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed NRG Academy51c773.49$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.0718444.6%82 W · 102 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed NRG Academy52c771.39$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.8377929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6200…7d23backed NRG Academy47c750$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.52441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked SaD Esports47c679.12$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.471,61245.1%727 W · 885 L-25.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed SaD Esports47c633.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed NRG Academy60c628.62$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.451,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe66e…96e8backed SaD Esports7c612.64$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5692025%5 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.15per pick40cpaid+42.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed SaD Esports46c611.4$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.5845250%226 W · 226 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x568d…87d0backed NRG Academy50c601.49$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.6710842.6%46 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941f…bac9backed SaD Esports50c601.19$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.19520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-59.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked NRG Academy52c600.01$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.4913759.9%82 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick65cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed NRG Academy67c576.59$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.6741537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked NRG Academy53c565$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29715431.2%48 W · 106 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a72…ffacbacked NRG Academy53c524.14$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked SaD Esports6c520.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.85323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-46.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked NRG Academy62c518.42$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.7430835.4%109 W · 199 L-23.8wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-40.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9718…ffd8backed SaD Esports67c485.02$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.021361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd31…8004backed SaD Esports51c442.04$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.722047.7%105 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed NRG Academy58c419.84$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.4626932.3%87 W · 182 L-25.7wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed NRG Academy52c397$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.444358.1%25 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked NRG Academy51c390.89$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004845.8%22 W · 26 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42dd…5d2bbacked NRG Academy47c390$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.34537.8%17 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe62c…d9a6backed NRG Academy58c370.28$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.932128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-32.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7820…0b73backed NRG Academy50c366.04$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.023050%15 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a03…0b5ebacked NRG Academy38c350.08$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked NRG Academy52c332.75$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5791333.2%303 W · 610 L-89.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked SaD Esports67c330.74$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.747550.7%38 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked NRG Academy48c323.76$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9386747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc31d…9934backed SaD Esports20c322.37$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.521822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-39.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c4…0734backed NRG Academy47c305.66$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe592…74adbacked SaD Esports49c299.99$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1522138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ce…af35backed SaD Esports58c290.4$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.254168.3%28 W · 13 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+40.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked SaD Esports28c285.55$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.041631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa75b…ea01backed SaD Esports11c285.18$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick39cpaid+191.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed SaD Esports45c279.44$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.696051.7%31 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed SaD Esports55c273.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2319656.6%111 W · 85 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1982…bc7bbacked NRG Academy37c271.84$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.69142.9%39 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94f4…77a2backed SaD Esports58c271.65$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.751070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed NRG Academy54c267.74$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.4523836.1%86 W · 152 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed SaD Esports23c251.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.371225%3 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-23.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x059e…54d1backed SaD Esports66c251.11$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+25.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked NRG Academy57c250.46$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14321136.5%77 W · 134 L-15.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed NRG Academy53c250$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2323644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed NRG Academy52c247$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4416547.9%79 W · 86 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed NRG Academy49c241.36$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.848062.5%50 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x596b…e891backed NRG Academy50c235.75$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…e759backed NRG Academy49c232.77$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed NRG Academy58c232$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.823447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed NRG Academy34c231.59$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.41922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-42.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7d8…a577backed NRG Academy53c229.72$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.51250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked NRG Academy46c210.16$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed NRG Academy50c208.5$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044949%24 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed SaD Esports72c207.89$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.891172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+39%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x96d2…2c6fbacked NRG Academy53c200.29$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa0…ead1backed NRG Academy50c200.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002955.2%16 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed NRG Academy61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12212243.4%53 W · 69 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed NRG Academy47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9428247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked SaD Esports42c198$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.354439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3c0…28f8backed SaD Esports44c194.79$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.79650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x782b…ff64backed NRG Academy48c193.29$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.315034%17 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-37.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.