Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ce925eceaac2754f53531fdc37ac35d4246c118a4270a7ee39d2ba257601ebc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SaD Esportsof SaD Esports, NRG Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked NRG Academy | 44c | 1,280$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.2 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed SaD Esports | 56c | 1,200$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528 | 141 | 58.2%82 W · 59 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed NRG Academy | 33c | 430$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.29 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed NRG Academy | 23c | 382.22$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.34 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe592…74adbacked SaD Esports | 55c | 257$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed NRG Academy | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.68 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NRG Academy | 32c | 208.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SaD Esports | 79c | 183$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SaD Esports | 68c | 167.56$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.39 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed NRG Academy | 44c | 157.27$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NRG Academy | 8c | 146.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NRG Academy | 20c | 132.37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NRG Academy | 25c | 123$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NRG Academy | 22c | 96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked SaD Esports | 59c | 81.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 240 | 32.1%77 W · 163 L | -18.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed SaD Esports | 56c | 80$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…8b63backed SaD Esports | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…8e8fbacked NRG Academy | 39c | 66.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NRG Academy | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…823bbacked SaD Esports | 69c | 51.01$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…8981backed NRG Academy | 24c | 47.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NRG Academy | 33c | 43.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94f5…1d29backed NRG Academy | 32c | 38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…7cbcbacked SaD Esports | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed SaD Esports | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed NRG Academy | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…0734backed NRG Academy | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked SaD Esports | 69c | 20.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SaD Esports | 62c | 16.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 204 | 39.2%80 W · 124 L | -18.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageSaD Esports won
- Valorant: SaD Esports vs NRG Academy - Map 2 WinnerNRG Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.