TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$137,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 265 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e94…2646backed No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae76…2763backed No17c7,000$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.9818626.3%49 W · 137 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,549.996844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x088b…21ccbacked Yes69c4,624$3,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,435.785040%20 W · 30 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No35c3,332$1,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.6425753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5016…1eebbacked Yes63c3,187$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.535650%28 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No14c2,985$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.5928731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6100…0b49backed No8c2,606$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.461822.2%4 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-46.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x772d…45bbbacked No7c2,385$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.996819.1%13 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick17cpaid-52.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9922139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked No16c1,892$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6436539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a5f…6c92backed Yes80c1,830$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.013732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x408c…2e26backed Yes64c1,714$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.455754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes57c1,298$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.6118056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes69c1,285$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.814,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd22…11ffbacked No47c1,145$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5336732.8%22 W · 45 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-25.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked No3c1,079$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1128251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d6f…4997backed Yes2c1,000$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98023513.2%31 W · 204 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+52%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc464…5139backed No24c989$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23533544.5%149 W · 186 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd9f…c675backed No49c980.55$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.16533.8%22 W · 43 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes63c883.34$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2521166.4%140 W · 71 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d06…755bbacked Yes60c879.54$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.4319744.2%87 W · 110 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5a6…d556backed No47c867.84$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.898341%34 W · 49 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0385…96c8backed No37c811.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3008837.5%33 W · 55 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3272…e542backed No37c799.97$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.795536.4%20 W · 35 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick28cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x76aa…58cebacked Yes70c718.08$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.089760.8%59 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5072…17bebacked Yes70c717.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.211747%55 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022b…d2f6backed Yes75c715.88$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.971758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fc1…0c67backed No48c714.84$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.354311.6%5 W · 38 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-72.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed No22c676.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Yes56c628.53$351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.532733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc6b…8115backed No11c598.84$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6722914%32 W · 197 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb79…47a9backed Yes18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.565726.3%15 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64a0…ad68backed No50c553.72$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2756349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3db…0f98backed No47c544.66$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.9819020.5%39 W · 151 L-0.7wins0.00per pick21cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed No49c536.19$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.8552441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…4c7abacked Yes63c532.27$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.6518736.4%68 W · 119 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91af…9a27backed Yes58c520.15$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.454548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70d0…918ebacked Yes2c500$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+513.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019823.7%47 W · 151 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick22cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x72a3…785fbacked No14c499.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820049.5%99 W · 101 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed No38c499.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4929138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked No38c499.97$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4915418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74a3…3b73backed Yes62c487.89$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.75040%20 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2955…ab27backed Yes75c467.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.293863.2%24 W · 14 L+4.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+29.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1510…fe91backed Yes80c458.18$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.178367.5%56 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f87…5859backed No34c422.12$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.632317.4%4 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1538…8676backed Yes62c403.88$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.8819548.7%95 W · 100 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc32a…f7ebbacked No5c400.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201219.1%11 W · 110 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab6…7c42backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004045%18 W · 22 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes51c399.98$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.9918237.4%68 W · 114 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Yes52c386.85$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.8532356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes54c355.22$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec3c…528ebacked Yes56c330.47$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.898336.1%30 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-21.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6606…09fabacked No37c311.85$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.235225%13 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4a0…2dcbbacked Yes60c302.74$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.946950.7%35 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes54c299.99$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13967354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked No30c299.98$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9924555.1%135 W · 110 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed No34c289.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Yes58c277.69$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.4611759.8%70 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked No79c260.95$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.9532254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0392…ab02backed Yes69c253.62$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.5220354.7%111 W · 92 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a60…d8e5backed Yes80c250.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.171315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.22per pick37cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0767…ce17backed No46c250.15$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1157140.8%29 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x433f…a0dcbacked No10c244.22$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42516%4 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-57.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed No35c239.61$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8522147.1%104 W · 117 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8f…266bbacked No34c232.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8912336.6%45 W · 78 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b14…8d5ebacked No7c232.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x53fd…be83backed Yes65c229.23$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.233666.7%24 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…e3b2backed No44c226.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008327.7%23 W · 60 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc0…9babbacked No45c220.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No30c218.8$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8611440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x291a…6f9ebacked No46c217.65$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.851020%2 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-44%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c5d…44d1backed Yes69c217.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.395534.5%19 W · 36 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-30.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97da…d63bbacked Yes59c216.35$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.352653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbcba…91babacked Yes70c214.29$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.294667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e8…afdbbacked Yes47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.777454.1%40 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x112a…be90backed No47c211.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes5c210$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.94235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes62c209.99$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.0153436%192 W · 342 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6ce…ab45backed No50c200.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009822.4%22 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64ed…41b2backed Yes75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf676…b039backed No44c200$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.218448.9%90 W · 94 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a09…e2b8backed Yes35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1306258.1%36 W · 26 L+6.6wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3f75…ce35backed No39c199.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5921439.7%85 W · 129 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ce3…f779backed Yes67c199.97$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a58…b808backed No46c199.96$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9822835.5%81 W · 147 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7f1…b052backed Yes58c179.4$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.8715930.2%48 W · 111 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bb5…1d5bbacked Yes62c177.63$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.684632.6%15 W · 31 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5baf…df89backed Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.445853.4%31 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb069…0e1cbacked Yes63c174.53$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.535752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1101…dfd5backed No12c172.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027732.5%90 W · 187 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes56c170.2$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.8923440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2348…9232backed Yes65c169.47$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.471471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8ca…298dbacked No27c167.91$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455824.1%14 W · 44 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick17cpaid+127.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe1c9…748cbacked Yes62c161.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.555658.9%33 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb49…27b6backed No12c161.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.731346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked No30c160$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.648326.5%22 W · 61 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.