TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$195,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $195,094 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over69c89,314$61,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,704.264,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Under31c24,000$7,440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,439.9620333.5%68 W · 135 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under31c23,000$7,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,129.9720731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under31c19,990$6,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,197.0525844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Under32c19,520$6,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,197.5529740.1%119 W · 178 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Under31c10,000$3,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1007337%27 W · 46 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-31.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under31c5,205$1,623 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.882,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over69c4,587$3,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,444.512,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Under31c3,396$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.7421333.3%71 W · 142 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under31c3,029$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.998938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c2,950$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.53,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30e4…5102backed Under31c2,222$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.821637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under7c2,212$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.372,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xedf0…a1d3backed Under32c1,790$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.9321044.3%93 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c1,665$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904.244,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x434a…1578backed Over30c1,410$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.7613035.4%46 W · 84 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Over52c1,345$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.622441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under31c1,194$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.463,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over32c1,174$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.454,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over26c1,159$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$856.272,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over51c1,068$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.818,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…d790backed Over68c984.21$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.6324843.1%107 W · 141 L-0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over50c974.49$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.795251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb323…b4c3backed Over47c960.07$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.884348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x348c…c8efbacked Under32c834.79$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26433245.5%151 W · 181 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over40c792.74$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.672,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Over69c721.7$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.632,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over69c718.84$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.845356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under31c710.81$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.253,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under31c700$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Over68c699.98$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.9932642.9%140 W · 186 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over69c671.4$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.651,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over69c643.47$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.871,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd220…fc0bbacked Over49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30610432.7%34 W · 70 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d1e…9e97backed Over36c556.4$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.3428251.4%145 W · 137 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Over70c532.86$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.8611563.5%73 W · 42 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Over70c499.99$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15052455%288 W · 236 L+2.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under52c451.36$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.161,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Over69c450.32$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.961,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3317…7cb6backed Under31c437.23$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.545750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over69c422.71$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.6342332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf83e…4663backed Over25c412.2$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.1510041%41 W · 59 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf285…52c2backed Over69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1243351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked Under31c383.33$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12036543.3%158 W · 207 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x990d…e207backed Under14c374.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.672119%4 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under10c373.55$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.262,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1635…26bfbacked Over56c355.6$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.65139.2%20 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9323942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd75f…febbbacked Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.123151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under20c277.1$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.932,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb51c…5118backed Under38c263.92$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under25c262$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.580225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over38c257.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3748328%135 W · 348 L-19.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over41c250.92$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.431,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3662…0e48backed Over69c240.25$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.4812654%68 W · 58 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe657…b24fbacked Over69c218$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.582030%6 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73d7…360dbacked Over41c215.19$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.196923.2%16 W · 53 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick11cpaid+79.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Under31c204.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.951,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f7…610abacked Over49c204.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.876434.4%22 W · 42 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e89…af95backed Under32c198$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.365341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under68c194$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9245248.9%221 W · 231 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Over69c192.46$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.311,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under34c190.54$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.011,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Over61c190$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.617659.7%105 W · 71 L+25.3wins+0.14per pick45cpaid+36.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x3999…f793backed Under31c187.1$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb79…47a9backed Over27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.195726.3%15 W · 42 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+21.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95e9…67b6backed Under57c174.68$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.7716344.2%72 W · 91 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x490b…8760backed Over46c163.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.044254.8%23 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8cf7…1958backed Under32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021247.2%100 W · 112 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x116a…a2f2backed Under33c153.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1205…13e2backed Over70c151.76$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.535653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed Over33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5216950.9%86 W · 83 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.532254%174 W · 148 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29cd…972abacked Over32c150$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1026530.8%20 W · 45 L+7.1wins+0.11per pick20cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc905…07f5backed Under54c148.09$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid+78.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef8a…7035backed Over67c147.52$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.681471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.9351045.3%231 W · 279 L+21.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under11c141.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.472247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Under31c140$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under9c139.94$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.281,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under10c131$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.113247%62 W · 70 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under31c130$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.32,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed Under32c122.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2848937%181 W · 308 L-10.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64a0…ad68backed Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.456349.2%31 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over70c119.49$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8542853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over69c115.54$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4963255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c112.25$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.681,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa270…ecadbacked Over59c110$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.628251.4%145 W · 137 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Over69c108.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.7188852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x935d…72f4backed Under33c103.03$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3411949.6%59 W · 60 L+9.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88a2…68a0backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556229%18 W · 44 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37be…d876backed Over70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3012048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3248147.8%230 W · 251 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Over41c97.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.820447.5%97 W · 107 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd3…e427backed Over69c97.1$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.17167.6%48 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+0.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed Under67c94.69$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2764850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under31c94$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.141,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed Under50c92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4611147.7%53 W · 58 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.