TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Moroccoof Netherlands, Morocco
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$164,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$163,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $164,691 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed Netherlands6c40,392$2,395 inLost-$2,395.022,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Netherlands2c19,117$376 inLost-$375.941,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58a3…5336backed Netherlands6c7,894$474 inLost-$473.632334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Netherlands6c3,903$246 inLost-$246.152,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Netherlands1c3,621$40 inLost-$40.141,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Netherlands6c3,307$201 inLost-$20119329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Netherlands7c3,150$221 inLost-$220.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2022…4517backed Netherlands2c2,216$40 inLost-$4030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Netherlands2c2,190$53 inLost-$52.5315418.8%29 W · 125 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeca2…44fcbacked Netherlands6c2,167$130 inLost-$1302416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Netherlands7c2,000$136 inLost-$135.8437237.4%139 W · 233 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Netherlands4c1,583$63 inLost-$62.6715932.7%52 W · 107 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad3f…0228backed Netherlands4c1,077$40 inLost-$40759.3%7 W · 68 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Netherlands4c996.52$40 inLost-$40.412,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Netherlands3c798$26 inLost-$25.72,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Netherlands5c743.44$40 inLost-$403067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x848c…2bf0backed Netherlands6c666.67$40 inLost-$4022122.2%49 W · 172 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa4c…7bfdbacked Netherlands6c645.5$39 inLost-$38.7314428.5%41 W · 103 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-5.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Netherlands5c626.74$31 inLost-$31.0937223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Netherlands6c583.33$35 inLost-$356266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7696…2639backed Netherlands3c507$15 inLost-$15.151618.8%3 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-68.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed Netherlands6c361$22 inLost-$21.6611642.2%49 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Netherlands6c306.94$18 inLost-$18.4236123.5%85 W · 276 L-1.7wins0.00per pick24cpaid-21.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93a4…6bdbbacked Netherlands7c285.71$20 inLost-$203625%9 W · 27 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba1…1703backed Netherlands6c266.67$16 inLost-$1610838%41 W · 67 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5408…590fbacked Netherlands6c187$11 inLost-$11.222133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-36.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceae…1cedbacked Netherlands7c150$11 inLost-$10.54030%12 W · 28 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.