TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,531
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,328

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,531 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1d60…453dbacked Over80c1,128$900 inWon+$228.4465948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over70c821.73$577 inWon+$244.592,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under21c689.31$145 inLost-$145.44,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb27f…2c41backed Over62c600$372 inWon+$22811445.6%52 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under19c377.53$70 inLost-$70.132,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under37c357$130 inLost-$130.482537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under38c306$116 inLost-$116.2824540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under8c152.12$12 inLost-$12.1780225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x114d…23e2backed Under44c143.62$64 inLost-$63.631546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Over75c132.13$99 inWon+$33.138274.4%61 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick69cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ff…479fbacked Over55c131.68$73 inWon+$58.892152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over71c100$71 inWon+$291,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under19c79.74$15 inLost-$15.412,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Over78c77.21$60 inWon+$17.2118150.3%91 W · 90 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under28c72.99$21 inLost-$20.6572247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9c…b478backed Over77c64.94$50 inWon+$14.949163.7%58 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5724…b563backed Under51c58.82$30 inLost-$304452.3%23 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+61.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over63c45.39$28 inWon+$16.992,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over64c43$28 inWon+$15.4873536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5582…74cdbacked Under47c31.68$15 inLost-$14.89616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over79c21.69$17 inWon+$4.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Over72c15$11 inWon+$4.27460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.