TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$14,547
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,365

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,547 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x65b5…aa71backed Under59c7,500$4,425 inLost-$4,42540655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over41c4,435$1,816 inWon+$2,618.94,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over40c1,025$410 inWon+$6152,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under7c1,002$73 inLost-$73.152,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under60c670.72$402 inLost-$402.433,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under60c454.04$272 inLost-$272.423,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over41c450$185 inWon+$265.51,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over41c385.35$159 inWon+$226.591,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over41c359.21$147 inWon+$211.9365036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over41c344$141 inWon+$202.961,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over41c300$123 inWon+$177.0787237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b38…2bbfbacked Over69c288.45$200 inWon+$88.4510450%52 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over42c267.9$113 inWon+$155.3573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under57c240.34$137 inLost-$136.9953448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over42c209.98$88 inWon+$122.361,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b6f…fe71backed Over40c115$46 inWon+$697460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under30c88$26 inLost-$26.42,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under29c82.99$24 inLost-$24.072,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x35e2…9dcbbacked Over71c78.54$56 inWon+$22.789045.6%41 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under64c72.5$46 inLost-$46.4582537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over40c57.47$23 inWon+$34.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over32c50$16 inWon+$341,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked Over41c50$21 inWon+$29.58639.5%34 W · 52 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf3a3…d117backed Under64c46.88$30 inLost-$309737.1%36 W · 61 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ef3…b2ddbacked Over43c41.86$18 inWon+$23.869842.9%42 W · 56 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7770…f99bbacked Under61c33.82$21 inLost-$20.633053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed Over47c24.41$11 inWon+$12.9437458.8%220 W · 154 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under60c22.5$14 inLost-$13.62,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 37 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.